Portland Trail Blazers

Portland Trail Blazers

Jan 4, 2025

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Picks 1/4/2025

  • Date: January 4, 2025
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum


Betting Odds

Spread:Portland Trail Blazers 12.5 (-110), Milwaukee Bucks -12.5 (-110)
Over/Under:227.5
Moneyline:Portland Trail Blazers 540, Milwaukee Bucks -700


Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Portland Trail Blazers - 15%Portland Trail Blazers - 6%
Milwaukee Bucks - 85%Milwaukee Bucks - 94%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

On Saturday night, the Portland Trail Blazers (11-22) face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (18-15) at Fiserv Forum, with tip-off scheduled for 8:00 PM ET. This matchup comes with significant implications, particularly for the Trail Blazers, who are enduring a challenging road trip, having lost their last eight games away from home. The Bucks, meanwhile, have been in better form, winning 14 of their last 20 games, despite a recent loss to the Brooklyn Nets.

With the spread set at Bucks -12.0, Milwaukee is a substantial favorite in this contest. The Moneyline reflects this disparity, featuring the Bucks at -660 and the Trail Blazers at +510, which translates to an implied win probability of 84% for Milwaukee and just 16% for Portland. The Trail Blazers are at a disadvantage due to their long travel across the country, which could impact their performance.

Betting enthusiasts may want to keep a close eye on Damian Lillard's Points and Assists prop market. This has emerged as the most popular betting angle for this game, with the total opening at Over 29.5 Points and Assists (-115) before shifting to 30.5 (-120). Given Lillard's pivotal role in the Trail Blazers' offense, his performance could be crucial in determining the game's outcome.

As the Bucks look to capitalize on their home-court advantage, they will be eager to bounce back from their last outing. In contrast, the Trail Blazers will need to find a way to break their road slump if they hope to compete effectively in this matchup.


Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Final Score: Portland Trail Blazers 105.64 vs Milwaukee Bucks 127.13

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+12.0/-115
47% POR
-12.0/-105
53% MIL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+491
5% POR
-687
95% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-110
16% UN
228.5/-110
84% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
34
Games
33
39.8
FG
40.4
89.2
FGA
89.3
.446
FG%
.453
11.9
3Pt-FG
13.8
35.8
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.333
3Pt%
.361
27.9
2Pt-FG
26.6
53.4
2Pt-FGA
51.1
.523
2Pt%
.522
16.4
FT
16.6
21.2
FTA
20.6
.771
FT%
.804
12.5
ORB
10.5
30.9
DRB
35.1
43.4
TRB
45.5
22.9
AST
25.4
8.1
STL
7.6
5.6
BLK
3.9
16.6
TOV
13.8
19.5
PF
18.4
107.9
PTS
111.2

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
34
Games
33
42.2
FG
41.1
88.0
FGA
86.5
.480
FG%
.475
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.3
37.1
3Pt-FGA
37.4
.377
3Pt%
.383
28.3
2Pt-FG
26.8
51.0
2Pt-FGA
49.1
.555
2Pt%
.545
18.4
FT
15.8
23.1
FTA
21.5
.794
FT%
.733
11.8
ORB
8.3
32.8
DRB
35.1
44.5
TRB
43.4
27.6
AST
24.4
9.7
STL
7.9
6.3
BLK
5.1
15.2
TOV
14.1
19.0
PF
18.5
116.8
PTS
112.3

Offense/Defense

POR
Four Factors
MIL
.513
eFG%
.530
14.4
TOV%
12.3
27.6
RB%
77.0
.183
FT/FGA
.186

Defense/Offense

POR
Four Factors
MIL
.559
eFG%
.558
13.4
TOV%
12.8
72.4
RB%
19.2
.208
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
34
Games
33
40.1
FG
40.6
89.8
FGA
89.6
.446
FG%
.453
12.0
3Pt-FG
13.8
36.1
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.333
3Pt%
.361
28.1
2Pt-FG
26.7
53.8
2Pt-FGA
51.3
.523
2Pt%
.522
16.5
FT
16.6
21.3
FTA
20.7
.771
FT%
.804
12.6
ORB
10.5
31.1
DRB
35.2
43.7
TRB
45.7
23.1
AST
25.5
8.2
STL
7.6
5.6
BLK
3.9
16.7
TOV
13.9
19.6
PF
18.4
108.6
PTS
111.6

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
34
Games
33
42.5
FG
41.2
88.6
FGA
86.8
.480
FG%
.475
14.1
3Pt-FG
14.4
37.3
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.377
3Pt%
.383
28.4
2Pt-FG
26.9
51.3
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.555
2Pt%
.545
18.5
FT
15.8
23.3
FTA
21.6
.794
FT%
.733
11.8
ORB
8.4
33.0
DRB
35.2
44.8
TRB
43.6
27.8
AST
24.5
9.7
STL
7.9
6.3
BLK
5.1
15.3
TOV
14.1
19.2
PF
18.5
117.6
PTS
112.7

POR
Analytics
MIL
8
Pythag Wins
18
26
Pythag Losses
15
-8.88
Margin Of Victory
1.06
108.6
O Rtg
112.7
117.6
D Rtg
111.6
99.4
Pace
99.3
.238
FTr
.249
.401
3PAr
.432
.547
TS%
.585

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
POR MIL
POR MIL
Consensus
+12.5 (-106)
-12.5 (-110)
+11.5 (-106)
-11.5 (-113)
+12.5 (-115)
-12.5 (-110)
+12.0 (-115)
-12.0 (-105)
+12.0 (-108)
-12.0 (-110)
+12.0 (-108)
-12.0 (-112)
+12.0 (-107)
-12.0 (-113)
+11.5 (-107)
-11.5 (-114)
+12.0 (-110)
-12.0 (-110)
+12.0 (-110)
-12.0 (-110)
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-110)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
POR MIL
POR MIL
Consensus
+525
-750
+491
-687
+525
-750
+500
-700
+500
-700
+490
-670
+500
-715
+450
-625
+500
-700
+500
-700
+525
-750
+525
-750
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-111)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
228.0 (-108)
228.0 (-112)
227.0 (-108)
227.0 (-113)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-109)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
229.5 (-105)
229.5 (-115)
228.5 (-105)
228.5 (-115)