Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 26, 2025

Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Game 4 Prediction – 4/26/2025

On April 26, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder (71-15) will face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (49-38) in Game 4 of their Western Conference first round playoff series at FedExForum, set to tip off at 3:30 PM ET. The Thunder enter this matchup as significant favorites, boasting a spread of Thunder -15.0 and an implied win probability of 88%, while the Grizzlies sit at a 12% implied win probability with a moneyline of +700. OKC has a 3-0 series lead heading into this contest.

Oklahoma City is riding high with seven consecutive victories, including a recent 114-108 win over Memphis. In contrast, the Grizzlies have struggled, dropping three straight games, which has contributed to their underdog status in this contest. The Thunder's recent form suggests they are not just winning but doing so with confidence, making them a tough opponent for any team.

For bettors looking at player props, Isaiah Hartenstein's Points, Rebounds, and Assists market is generating considerable interest. Currently, the line is set at Under 20.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-115), with sharp bettors leaning towards the Under, indicating a belief that the line may be mispriced and offers value.

As the game approaches, all eyes will be on how the Grizzlies respond to their recent struggles against a Thunder team that has shown they can perform under pressure. With Oklahoma City looking to extend their winning streak and Memphis aiming to turn their fortunes around, this matchup promises to be an intriguing battle.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Game 4 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 123.03, Memphis Grizzlies 104.9

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Game 4 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Thunder88%92%
Grizzlies12%8%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-15.0/-112
57% OKC
+15.0/-108
43% MEM

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-950
81% OKC
+625
19% MEM

Total Pick Consensus

221.5/-110
14% UN
221.5/-110
86% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
41.9
92.7
FGA
91.8
.482
FG%
.456
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.2
38.8
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.374
3Pt%
.360
30.1
2Pt-FG
27.7
53.9
2Pt-FGA
52.4
.559
2Pt%
.529
16.7
FT
18.9
20.4
FTA
24.5
.819
FT%
.770
10.6
ORB
11.5
34.2
DRB
32.0
44.8
TRB
43.5
26.9
AST
27.0
10.3
STL
8.7
5.7
BLK
5.5
11.7
TOV
15.1
19.9
PF
20.2
120.5
PTS
116.9

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
44.8
87.0
FGA
93.3
.436
FG%
.479
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.9
39.3
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.342
3Pt%
.367
24.5
2Pt-FG
30.8
47.6
2Pt-FGA
55.5
.513
2Pt%
.556
18.3
FT
18.3
23.7
FTA
23.3
.774
FT%
.786
11.6
ORB
12.9
33.3
DRB
34.4
44.9
TRB
47.3
24.6
AST
28.4
6.7
STL
8.9
4.8
BLK
5.6
17.0
TOV
15.7
18.1
PF
20.9
107.6
PTS
121.7

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
MEM
.560
eFG%
.533
10.3
TOV%
12.9
24.2
RB%
74.9
.180
FT/FGA
.206

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
MEM
.513
eFG%
.554
14.9
TOV%
13.1
74.6
RB%
28.7
.211
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
40.5
92.6
FGA
88.8
.482
FG%
.456
14.5
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.8
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.374
3Pt%
.360
30.1
2Pt-FG
26.8
53.8
2Pt-FGA
50.7
.559
2Pt%
.529
16.7
FT
18.3
20.4
FTA
23.7
.819
FT%
.770
10.6
ORB
11.1
34.1
DRB
31.0
44.7
TRB
42.1
26.8
AST
26.2
10.3
STL
8.4
5.7
BLK
5.3
11.7
TOV
14.6
19.9
PF
19.5
120.3
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
43.3
86.8
FGA
90.3
.436
FG%
.479
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.5
39.3
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.342
3Pt%
.367
24.4
2Pt-FG
29.8
47.6
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.513
2Pt%
.556
18.3
FT
17.7
23.7
FTA
22.5
.774
FT%
.786
11.6
ORB
12.5
33.2
DRB
33.3
44.8
TRB
45.7
24.6
AST
27.5
6.7
STL
8.6
4.8
BLK
5.4
17.0
TOV
15.2
18.1
PF
20.2
107.5
PTS
117.7

OKC
Analytics
MEM
68
Pythag Wins
52
14
Pythag Losses
30
12.87
Margin Of Victory
4.85
120.3
O Rtg
117.7
107.5
D Rtg
113.0
100.0
Pace
103.3
.220
FTr
.249
.419
3PAr
.406
.593
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC MEM
OKC MEM
Consensus
-14.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-110)
-15.0 (-110)
+15.0 (-107)
-14.0 (-112)
+14.0 (-110)
-15.0 (-112)
+15.0 (-108)
-12.5 (-114)
+12.5 (-110)
-15.0 (-114)
+15.0 (-106)
-14.0 (-112)
+14.0 (-112)
-14.5 (-112)
+14.5 (-109)
-14.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-110)
-15.0 (-110)
+15.0 (-110)
-14.5 (-105)
+14.5 (-115)
-15.5 (-105)
+15.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
OKC MEM
OKC MEM
Consensus
-900
+600
-1093
+698
-900
+600
-950
+625
-700
+500
-1000
+660
-1000
+625
-1200
+750
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-111)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
225.5 (-112)
225.5 (-109)
222.0 (-109)
222.0 (-112)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)

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