Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 5, 2025

Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick – 3/5/2025


On March 5, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-12) will face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (38-23) at FedExForum in Memphis. This Wednesday night matchup features the Thunder as significant favorites, with a current spread of Thunder -8.5. The Thunder's moneyline sits at -345, reflecting an implied win probability of 75%, while the Grizzlies, with a moneyline of +285, have an implied win probability of 25%.

Oklahoma City is entering the game on a high note, having won 40 of their last 50 contests, including a recent victory over the Houston Rockets, where they triumphed 137-128. In stark contrast, Memphis is struggling, having dropped three consecutive games, the latest being a nail-biter against the Atlanta Hawks, losing 132-130.

For bettors looking at player prop markets, Ja Morant's Points and Rebounds could be worth a closer look, as it has emerged as the most popular betting option for this game. The prop total opened at Under 29.5 Points and Rebounds (-115) but has since shifted to 27.5 (-125), indicating that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under.

With the Thunder's recent form and the Grizzlies' current struggles, this matchup presents an intriguing opportunity for sports bettors. Oklahoma City's strong play and Memphis's recent woes could heavily influence the outcome, making this game one to watch for both fans and bettors alike.


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 126.35 vs Memphis Grizzlies 111.89


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Thunder75%90%
Grizzlies25%10%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-7.0/-110
70% OKC
+7.0/-110
30% MEM

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-264
88% OKC
+219
12% MEM

Total Pick Consensus

253.0/-110
35% UN
253.0/-110
65% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
41.9
92.7
FGA
91.8
.482
FG%
.456
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.2
38.8
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.374
3Pt%
.360
30.1
2Pt-FG
27.7
53.9
2Pt-FGA
52.4
.559
2Pt%
.529
16.7
FT
18.9
20.4
FTA
24.5
.819
FT%
.770
10.6
ORB
11.5
34.2
DRB
32.0
44.8
TRB
43.5
26.9
AST
27.0
10.3
STL
8.7
5.7
BLK
5.5
11.7
TOV
15.1
19.9
PF
20.2
120.5
PTS
116.9

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
44.8
87.0
FGA
93.3
.436
FG%
.479
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.9
39.3
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.342
3Pt%
.367
24.5
2Pt-FG
30.8
47.6
2Pt-FGA
55.5
.513
2Pt%
.556
18.3
FT
18.3
23.7
FTA
23.3
.774
FT%
.786
11.6
ORB
12.9
33.3
DRB
34.4
44.9
TRB
47.3
24.6
AST
28.4
6.7
STL
8.9
4.8
BLK
5.6
17.0
TOV
15.7
18.1
PF
20.9
107.6
PTS
121.7

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
MEM
.560
eFG%
.533
10.3
TOV%
12.9
24.2
RB%
74.9
.180
FT/FGA
.206

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
MEM
.513
eFG%
.554
14.9
TOV%
13.1
74.6
RB%
28.7
.211
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
40.5
92.6
FGA
88.8
.482
FG%
.456
14.5
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.8
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.374
3Pt%
.360
30.1
2Pt-FG
26.8
53.8
2Pt-FGA
50.7
.559
2Pt%
.529
16.7
FT
18.3
20.4
FTA
23.7
.819
FT%
.770
10.6
ORB
11.1
34.1
DRB
31.0
44.7
TRB
42.1
26.8
AST
26.2
10.3
STL
8.4
5.7
BLK
5.3
11.7
TOV
14.6
19.9
PF
19.5
120.3
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
43.3
86.8
FGA
90.3
.436
FG%
.479
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.5
39.3
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.342
3Pt%
.367
24.4
2Pt-FG
29.8
47.6
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.513
2Pt%
.556
18.3
FT
17.7
23.7
FTA
22.5
.774
FT%
.786
11.6
ORB
12.5
33.2
DRB
33.3
44.8
TRB
45.7
24.6
AST
27.5
6.7
STL
8.6
4.8
BLK
5.4
17.0
TOV
15.2
18.1
PF
20.2
107.5
PTS
117.7

OKC
Analytics
MEM
68
Pythag Wins
52
14
Pythag Losses
30
12.87
Margin Of Victory
4.85
120.3
O Rtg
117.7
107.5
D Rtg
113.0
100.0
Pace
103.3
.220
FTr
.249
.419
3PAr
.406
.593
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC MEM
OKC MEM
Consensus
-7.5 (-109)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.0 (-109)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-112)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-110)
-8.5 (-109)
+8.5 (-114)
-7.0 (-109)
+7.0 (-112)
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.0 (-105)
+7.0 (-115)
-8.5 (-118)
+8.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-118)
+6.5 (-102)
Open
Current
Book
OKC MEM
OKC MEM
Consensus
-300
+240
-264
+219
-298
+240
-285
+230
-260
+215
-280
+230
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
247.5 (-110)
247.5 (-110)
253.0 (-112)
253.0 (-109)
247.5 (-110)
247.5 (-110)
254.0 (-110)
254.0 (-110)
246.5 (-112)
246.5 (-108)
253.5 (-108)
253.5 (-112)
249.5 (-112)
249.5 (-109)
253.0 (-113)
253.0 (-108)
247.5 (-110)
247.5 (-110)
253.5 (-115)
253.5 (-105)
249.5 (-110)
249.5 (-110)
253.5 (-110)
253.5 (-110)

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