Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Apr 28, 2024

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers Game 4 Best Bet – 4/28/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 28, 2024
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
  • Spread: Milwaukee Bucks 9.5 (-110), Indiana Pacers -9.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5
  • Moneyline: Milwaukee Bucks 320, Indiana Pacers -390

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Milwaukee Bucks - 23%
  • Indiana Pacers - 77%

Projected Win %:

  • Milwaukee Bucks - 16%
  • Indiana Pacers - 84%

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks (50-35) are set to face off against the Indiana Pacers (49-37) in Game 4 of their first round playoff series in the Eastern Conference. This game holds extra significance as both teams are divisional rivals, adding fuel to the competitive fire. The game is scheduled for Sunday night at 7:00 PM ET and will take place at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse, the home arena of the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers come into this game as the favorites, especially when playing on their home court. The current spread favors the Pacers by 9.5 points, indicating their strong position in the matchup. The Moneyline odds reflect the Pacers' favoritism, with their odds listed at -390, while the Bucks' odds are at +320. Based on these odds, the Bucks have an implied win probability of 23%, while the Pacers hold an implied win probability of 77%.

In terms of recent performance, the Pacers have been on a hot streak at home, winning their last six consecutive home games. On the other hand, the Bucks have struggled on the road, losing their last four consecutive away games. This adds an interesting dynamic to the matchup, as the Pacers will look to capitalize on their home advantage and the Bucks will aim to break their road losing streak.

In their previous encounter, the Pacers emerged victorious with a 121-118 win over the Bucks. This result may provide added motivation for both teams, as the Bucks seek redemption while the Pacers aim to maintain their winning momentum.

For those interested in player prop betting, Damian Lillard's Points and Rebounds have been a popular choice in this game. The Over/Under line is set at 34.5 Points and Rebounds, with many sharp bettors favoring the Over due to potential value in the line's pricing.

As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike will be eagerly awaiting the outcome of this intense divisional matchup. With the Pacers' recent home success and the Bucks' determination to turn their road fortunes around, this game promises to be an exciting battle on the court.

Pick and Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks 104.18 - Indiana Pacers 116.25

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+10.0/-110
41% MIL
-10.0/-110
59% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+355
9% MIL
-459
91% IND

Total Pick Consensus

214.5/-110
44% UN
214.5/-110
56% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
IND
13
Games
12
41.0
FG
42.3
86.8
FGA
89.8
.472
FG%
.470
13.2
3Pt-FG
12.5
37.0
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.358
3Pt%
.336
27.8
2Pt-FG
29.8
49.8
2Pt-FGA
52.6
.557
2Pt%
.566
16.0
FT
20.2
22.2
FTA
25.3
.720
FT%
.796
8.7
ORB
11.7
35.0
DRB
32.9
43.7
TRB
44.6
22.8
AST
23.9
7.5
STL
7.6
5.7
BLK
4.5
13.5
TOV
13.7
18.9
PF
19.3
111.2
PTS
117.2

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
IND
13
Games
12
40.8
FG
42.3
89.9
FGA
86.9
.453
FG%
.487
15.0
3Pt-FG
12.3
39.6
3Pt-FGA
33.0
.379
3Pt%
.374
25.8
2Pt-FG
30.0
50.3
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.512
2Pt%
.556
17.1
FT
16.6
20.7
FTA
21.7
.825
FT%
.765
10.6
ORB
8.2
35.6
DRB
31.8
46.2
TRB
40.0
26.2
AST
27.8
6.8
STL
7.7
3.8
BLK
4.5
13.2
TOV
14.9
19.1
PF
21.7
113.6
PTS
113.6

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
IND
.548
eFG%
.540
12.3
TOV%
11.9
19.6
RB%
73.2
.184
FT/FGA
.224

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
IND
.537
eFG%
.558
11.8
TOV%
13.4
76.7
RB%
19.9
.190
FT/FGA
.191

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
13
Games
12
41.2
FG
42.0
87.4
FGA
89.4
.472
FG%
.470
13.3
3Pt-FG
12.4
37.2
3Pt-FGA
37.1
.358
3Pt%
.336
27.9
2Pt-FG
29.6
50.1
2Pt-FGA
52.3
.557
2Pt%
.566
16.1
FT
20.1
22.4
FTA
25.2
.720
FT%
.796
8.7
ORB
11.6
35.2
DRB
32.8
43.9
TRB
44.4
23.0
AST
23.8
7.5
STL
7.5
5.7
BLK
4.5
13.6
TOV
13.6
19.0
PF
19.2
111.9
PTS
116.6

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
13
Games
12
41.0
FG
42.1
90.4
FGA
86.5
.453
FG%
.487
15.1
3Pt-FG
12.3
39.8
3Pt-FGA
32.8
.379
3Pt%
.374
25.9
2Pt-FG
29.9
50.6
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.512
2Pt%
.556
17.2
FT
16.5
20.8
FTA
21.6
.825
FT%
.765
10.7
ORB
8.1
35.8
DRB
31.7
46.5
TRB
39.8
26.3
AST
27.6
6.8
STL
7.6
3.9
BLK
4.5
13.3
TOV
14.8
19.2
PF
21.6
114.3
PTS
113.0

MIL
Analytics
IND
6
Pythag Wins
5
7
Pythag Losses
7
-2.38
Margin Of Victory
-3.58
111.9
O Rtg
113.0
114.3
D Rtg
116.6
98.6
Pace
98.8
.256
FTr
.249
.426
3PAr
.380
.576
TS%
.589

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL IND
MIL IND
Consensus
+5.5 (-111)
-5.5 (-109)
+10.0 (-111)
-10.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-106)
-5.5 (-108)
+10.0 (-106)
-10.0 (-114)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-109)
+10.0 (-112)
-10.0 (-109)
+6.0 (-105)
-6.0 (-110)
+10.0 (-105)
-10.0 (-115)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-105)
-9.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIL IND
MIL IND
Consensus
+179
-220
+355
-459
+205
-250
+330
-425
+180
-215
+370
-480
+180
-220
+350
-455
+222
-278
+400
-550
+175
-210
+350
-450
+225
-275
+350
-450
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-113)
214.5 (-112)
214.5 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-113)
215.0 (-110)
215.0 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
214.0 (-105)
214.0 (-115)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
215.0 (-110)
215.0 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)