Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Jan 6, 2025

Sacramento Kings

Sacramento Kings
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction & Picks 1/6/2025

  • Date: January 6, 2025
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 3.5 (-110), Sacramento Kings -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under:224
Moneyline:Miami Heat 140, Sacramento Kings -165


Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 40%Miami Heat - 90%
Sacramento Kings - 60%Sacramento Kings - 10%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Miami Heat are set to clash with the Sacramento Kings on January 1, 2023, at 10:00 PM ET. This matchup takes place at the Golden 1 Center, marking a pivotal moment for both teams as they navigate their respective challenges.

The Kings enter this game with a record of 17-19 and are coming off a convincing victory against the Golden State Warriors, winning 129-99. With four consecutive wins under their belt, Sacramento is riding high, but they face the challenge of a back-to-back game, having played just a day prior. This lack of rest could impact their performance, potentially affecting their stamina as the game progresses.

On the other hand, the Miami Heat boast a 17-16 record and have shown resilience, winning 14 of their last 25 games. However, they are coming off a tough loss to the Utah Jazz, where they fell 136-100. The Heat’s longer-than-usual road trip, having traveled cross-country and across two time zones, may also hinder their chances of securing a win.

Oddsmakers have made the Kings slight favorites, with a spread of Kings -3.5 and a Moneyline of -165. The Heat's Moneyline sits at +140, reflecting an implied win probability of 40%, compared to the Kings' 60%. Sharp bettors have shown interest in Malik Monk’s Points and Assists prop, indicating confidence in his performance, as the total has moved from Over 24.5 to Over 25.5 Points and Assists.


Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 110.37 vs Sacramento Kings 95.36

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.0/-110
38% MIA
-4.0/-110
62% SAC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+148
18% MIA
-175
82% SAC

Total Pick Consensus

217.5/-110
11% UN
217.5/-110
89% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
SAC
68
Games
67
39.6
FG
41.5
86.5
FGA
88.2
.457
FG%
.471
13.6
3Pt-FG
14.7
38.0
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.358
3Pt%
.383
25.9
2Pt-FG
26.9
48.5
2Pt-FGA
49.9
.535
2Pt%
.538
16.3
FT
17.9
20.7
FTA
22.6
.791
FT%
.790
9.5
ORB
9.9
33.8
DRB
32.7
43.3
TRB
42.6
26.2
AST
27.1
7.9
STL
8.0
3.8
BLK
4.5
13.8
TOV
14.2
15.7
PF
18.8
109.1
PTS
115.6

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
SAC
68
Games
67
41.4
FG
43.3
89.0
FGA
90.6
.466
FG%
.478
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.6
38.5
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.359
3Pt%
.352
27.6
2Pt-FG
30.7
50.5
2Pt-FGA
55.0
.547
2Pt%
.559
14.1
FT
17.5
17.9
FTA
21.7
.786
FT%
.805
10.8
ORB
11.1
34.3
DRB
33.4
45.1
TRB
44.5
26.9
AST
26.9
7.5
STL
7.8
4.7
BLK
4.6
13.5
TOV
13.5
17.2
PF
18.9
110.8
PTS
116.5

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
SAC
.536
eFG%
.554
12.6
TOV%
12.7
21.7
RB%
77.1
.189
FT/FGA
.203

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
SAC
.543
eFG%
.547
12.3
TOV%
11.9
75.8
RB%
25.3
.158
FT/FGA
.193

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
SAC
68
Games
67
40.6
FG
41.5
88.7
FGA
88.2
.457
FG%
.471
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.7
39.0
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.358
3Pt%
.383
26.6
2Pt-FG
26.9
49.7
2Pt-FGA
49.9
.535
2Pt%
.538
16.8
FT
17.9
21.2
FTA
22.6
.791
FT%
.790
9.7
ORB
9.9
34.6
DRB
32.7
44.4
TRB
42.6
26.9
AST
27.1
8.1
STL
8.0
3.9
BLK
4.5
14.1
TOV
14.2
16.1
PF
18.8
111.8
PTS
115.6

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
SAC
68
Games
67
42.5
FG
43.3
91.2
FGA
90.6
.466
FG%
.478
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.6
39.5
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.359
3Pt%
.352
28.3
2Pt-FG
30.7
51.8
2Pt-FGA
55.0
.547
2Pt%
.559
14.5
FT
17.5
18.4
FTA
21.7
.786
FT%
.805
11.1
ORB
11.1
35.2
DRB
33.4
46.2
TRB
44.5
27.5
AST
26.9
7.7
STL
7.8
4.8
BLK
4.6
13.9
TOV
13.5
17.7
PF
18.9
113.6
PTS
116.5

MIA
Analytics
SAC
30
Pythag Wins
35
38
Pythag Losses
32
-1.68
Margin Of Victory
0.91
111.8
O Rtg
116.5
113.6
D Rtg
115.6
96.2
Pace
98.8
.239
FTr
.239
.440
3PAr
.393
.570
TS%
.582

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA SAC
MIA SAC
Consensus
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-107)
-4.0 (-112)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-109)
+4.0 (-107)
-4.0 (-114)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.0 (-105)
-3.0 (-115)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA SAC
MIA SAC
Consensus
+120
-142
+148
-175
+120
-142
+142
-170
-146
+124
+150
-178
+112
-134
+143
-175
+115
-135
+126
-150
+125
-155
+150
-185
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
217.5 (-112)
217.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
217.5 (-112)
217.5 (-109)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
218.0 (-105)
218.0 (-115)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)

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