Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Feb 12, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick – 2/12/2025


On February 12, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center, with the game set to tip off at 8:00 PM ET. This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, as the Thunder sit comfortably at 43-10, while the Heat struggle at 25-26.

Oklahoma City enters this contest as a massive favorite, boasting a spread of -12.5. The Thunder have been on a roll lately, winning 40 of their last 50 games, and they recently dispatched the New Orleans Pelicans with a dominant 137-101 victory. In contrast, the Miami Heat have lost 12 of their last 20 games, including a disappointing 103-85 defeat to the Boston Celtics in their last outing.

From a betting perspective, the odds reflect a significant disparity in expected outcomes. The Thunder's Moneyline sits at -660, giving them an implied win probability of 84%, while the Heat's Moneyline is +510, translating to just a 16% chance of victory. This stark contrast highlights the Thunder's current form and dominance at home.

For those interested in player props, Isaiah Hartenstein's Points and Rebounds market has garnered considerable attention, with the prop total moving from Over 20.5 Points and Rebounds at -115 to Over 22.5 at -130. Sharp bettors appear to be leaning towards the Over, indicating confidence in Hartenstein's ability to make an impact in this game.


Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 108.92 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 115.27


Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat15%32%
Thunder85%68%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+14.0/-108
10% MIA
BetMGM
-14.0/-112
90% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+584
4% MIA
Fanatics
-852
96% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

222.5/-115
12% UN
FanDuel
222.5/-105
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
65
Games
66
39.7
FG
37.8
86.8
FGA
86.7
.458
FG%
.436
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.0
38.4
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.361
3Pt%
.335
25.9
2Pt-FG
24.7
48.4
2Pt-FGA
47.8
.535
2Pt%
.518
16.6
FT
18.5
20.9
FTA
24.1
.792
FT%
.771
9.5
ORB
12.1
34.0
DRB
33.5
43.5
TRB
45.6
26.4
AST
24.4
7.9
STL
6.6
3.7
BLK
4.7
13.6
TOV
17.4
15.9
PF
18.3
109.9
PTS
107.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
65
Games
66
41.3
FG
44.4
88.9
FGA
92.7
.464
FG%
.479
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.3
38.5
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.357
3Pt%
.367
27.6
2Pt-FG
30.0
50.4
2Pt-FGA
53.7
.546
2Pt%
.560
14.3
FT
16.6
18.3
FTA
20.1
.782
FT%
.825
10.8
ORB
10.9
34.3
DRB
33.8
45.1
TRB
44.7
26.9
AST
26.7
7.4
STL
10.6
4.7
BLK
5.7
13.5
TOV
11.8
17.3
PF
20.2
110.6
PTS
119.7

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
OKC
.538
eFG%
.511
12.4
TOV%
15.2
21.7
RB%
73.7
.191
FT/FGA
.214

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
OKC
.541
eFG%
.556
12.2
TOV%
10.4
75.9
RB%
24.5
.161
FT/FGA
.179

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
65
Games
66
40.7
FG
37.8
88.8
FGA
86.7
.458
FG%
.436
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.3
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.361
3Pt%
.335
26.5
2Pt-FG
24.8
49.6
2Pt-FGA
47.8
.535
2Pt%
.518
17.0
FT
18.6
21.4
FTA
24.1
.792
FT%
.771
9.8
ORB
12.1
34.8
DRB
33.6
44.5
TRB
45.6
27.0
AST
24.5
8.1
STL
6.6
3.8
BLK
4.7
13.9
TOV
17.5
16.2
PF
18.3
112.5
PTS
107.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
65
Games
66
42.3
FG
44.4
91.1
FGA
92.8
.464
FG%
.479
14.1
3Pt-FG
14.3
39.4
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.357
3Pt%
.367
28.2
2Pt-FG
30.1
51.7
2Pt-FGA
53.7
.546
2Pt%
.560
14.6
FT
16.6
18.7
FTA
20.2
.782
FT%
.825
11.0
ORB
10.9
35.2
DRB
33.8
46.2
TRB
44.7
27.5
AST
26.7
7.6
STL
10.6
4.8
BLK
5.7
13.9
TOV
11.8
17.7
PF
20.2
113.2
PTS
119.7

MIA
Analytics
OKC
31
Pythag Wins
54
34
Pythag Losses
12
-0.72
Margin Of Victory
12.48
112.5
O Rtg
119.7
113.2
D Rtg
107.2
96.3
Pace
99.8
.241
FTr
.217
.442
3PAr
.421
.572
TS%
.589

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA OKC
MIA OKC
Consensus
+12.0 (-110)
-12.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-110)
-14.0 (-109)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+12.0 (-108)
-12.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-108)
-14.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+13.0 (-110)
-13.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-110)
-14.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+13.0 (-112)
-13.0 (-112)
+14.0 (-112)
-14.0 (-109)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+12.5 (-115)
-12.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-115)
-13.5 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+12.5 (-115)
-12.5 (-105)
+14.5 (-115)
-14.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA OKC
MIA OKC
Consensus
+475
-700
+584
-852
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+500
-700
+600
-900
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+460
-620
+610
-900
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+510
-715
+550
-770
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+500
-700
+550
-800
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+500
-700
+625
-1000
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
222.5 (-109)
222.5 (-112)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
222.0 (-105)
222.0 (-115)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-109)
222.5 (-108)
222.5 (-112)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
222.0 (-115)
222.0 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
MIA
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
OKC
1-2-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-0-0
1-2-0
ATS W/L/P
2-1-0
93
Avg Score
127.67
102
Avg Opp Score
107.33
2-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
5-0-0
1-4-0
ATS W/L/P
4-1-0
101.6
Avg Score
129.6
108.4
Avg Opp Score
105.4
4-6-0
Win/Loss/Tie
8-2-0
3-7-0
ATS W/L/P
5-5-0
104.8
Avg Score
125.7
112.5
Avg Opp Score
109.6
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
12/20/24
OKC
217.0
-114
30
MIA
1.0
-106
25
03/08/24
MIA
226.5
+287
29
OKC
-8.5
-364
27
01/10/24
OKC
233.5
-185
29
MIA
4.5
+153
35
01/10/23
OKC
220.5
+108
26
MIA
-2.0
-129
31
12/14/22
MIA
222.5
-141
31
OKC
2.5
+117
31
03/18/22
OKC
218.0
+807
26
MIA
-14.5
-1375
27
11/15/21
MIA
207.5
-267
23
OKC
6.5
+212
24
02/22/21
MIA
212.5
-288
23
OKC
7.0
+234
21
01/04/21
OKC
214.0
+360
26
MIA
-9.0
-470
26
08/12/20
MIA
221.5
-176
42
OKC
4.5
+144
29

Miami Heat

03/12/25
LAC
295.9
+155
43
MIA
-2.9
-182
29
03/10/25
CHA
296.4
+433
29
MIA
-12.3
-553
46
03/08/25
CHI
209.3
+155
22
MIA
-5.1
-185
33
03/07/25
MIN
104.9
-76
16
MIA
0.8
+65
12
03/05/25
MIA
120.3
+321
18
CLE
-7.4
-481
20
03/03/25
WAS
75.1
+98
3
MIA
-2.9
-122
11
02/28/25
IND
294.6
-199
46
MIA
5.2
+167
38
02/26/25
ATL
225.4
+123
27
MIA
-2.9
-146
28
02/24/25
MIA
211.8
+102
20
ATL
-1.8
-121
21
02/23/25
MIA
88.4
+60
15
MIL
-1.8
-72
4

Oklahoma City Thunder

03/12/25
OKC
327.4
+182
47
BOS
-4.3
-216
43
03/10/25
DEN
328.5
+414
46
OKC
-13.0
-522
44
03/09/25
DEN
398.7
+399
48
OKC
-12.3
-483
46
03/07/25
POR
109.7
+50
12
OKC
-0.7
-59
14
03/05/25
OKC
138.6
-145
16
MEM
2.1
+120
15
03/03/25
HOU
79.1
+222
11
OKC
-4.8
-335
10
03/02/25
OKC
269.5
-901
46
SA
14.7
+624
43
02/28/25
OKC
324.9
-695
53
ATL
14.5
+523
30
02/26/25
OKC
212.6
-1428
28
BKN
16.2
+836
39
02/23/25
OKC
91.0
-146
14
MIN
1.4
+116
4

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