Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Feb 12, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick – 2/12/2025


On February 12, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center, with the game set to tip off at 8:00 PM ET. This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, as the Thunder sit comfortably at 43-10, while the Heat struggle at 25-26.

Oklahoma City enters this contest as a massive favorite, boasting a spread of -12.5. The Thunder have been on a roll lately, winning 40 of their last 50 games, and they recently dispatched the New Orleans Pelicans with a dominant 137-101 victory. In contrast, the Miami Heat have lost 12 of their last 20 games, including a disappointing 103-85 defeat to the Boston Celtics in their last outing.

From a betting perspective, the odds reflect a significant disparity in expected outcomes. The Thunder's Moneyline sits at -660, giving them an implied win probability of 84%, while the Heat's Moneyline is +510, translating to just a 16% chance of victory. This stark contrast highlights the Thunder's current form and dominance at home.

For those interested in player props, Isaiah Hartenstein's Points and Rebounds market has garnered considerable attention, with the prop total moving from Over 20.5 Points and Rebounds at -115 to Over 22.5 at -130. Sharp bettors appear to be leaning towards the Over, indicating confidence in Hartenstein's ability to make an impact in this game.


Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 108.92 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 115.27


Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat15%32%
Thunder85%68%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+13.5/-108
15% MIA
-13.5/-112
85% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+550
5% MIA
-800
95% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

219.5/-112
14% UN
219.5/-108
86% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
51
Games
52
39.5
FG
36.7
87.1
FGA
85.2
.453
FG%
.431
14.1
3Pt-FG
12.6
39.0
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.362
3Pt%
.331
25.4
2Pt-FG
24.1
48.1
2Pt-FGA
47.1
.527
2Pt%
.511
16.8
FT
18.8
21.2
FTA
24.7
.793
FT%
.760
9.6
ORB
11.8
34.5
DRB
33.6
44.1
TRB
45.4
26.3
AST
24.1
7.9
STL
6.7
3.8
BLK
4.8
13.6
TOV
18.3
15.8
PF
18.1
110.0
PTS
104.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
51
Games
52
41.3
FG
44.1
89.6
FGA
92.7
.460
FG%
.476
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.0
38.5
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.357
3Pt%
.360
27.5
2Pt-FG
30.1
51.2
2Pt-FGA
53.7
.538
2Pt%
.559
14.2
FT
16.1
18.1
FTA
19.5
.785
FT%
.824
11.1
ORB
10.9
34.8
DRB
33.6
45.9
TRB
44.5
26.9
AST
26.3
7.4
STL
11.1
5.1
BLK
5.6
13.6
TOV
12.0
17.5
PF
20.5
110.5
PTS
118.2

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
OKC
.535
eFG%
.505
12.4
TOV%
16.0
21.6
RB%
74.0
.193
FT/FGA
.220

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
OKC
.537
eFG%
.551
12.2
TOV%
10.6
75.7
RB%
24.6
.159
FT/FGA
.174

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
51
Games
52
40.3
FG
36.8
88.8
FGA
85.4
.453
FG%
.431
14.4
3Pt-FG
12.7
39.8
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.362
3Pt%
.331
25.9
2Pt-FG
24.1
49.1
2Pt-FGA
47.2
.527
2Pt%
.511
17.1
FT
18.8
21.6
FTA
24.7
.793
FT%
.760
9.8
ORB
11.8
35.1
DRB
33.6
44.9
TRB
45.5
26.9
AST
24.2
8.1
STL
6.7
3.9
BLK
4.8
13.9
TOV
18.3
16.1
PF
18.1
112.1
PTS
105.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
51
Games
52
42.1
FG
44.2
91.4
FGA
92.9
.460
FG%
.476
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.0
39.2
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.357
3Pt%
.360
28.1
2Pt-FG
30.1
52.2
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.538
2Pt%
.559
14.5
FT
16.1
18.5
FTA
19.6
.785
FT%
.824
11.3
ORB
11.0
35.5
DRB
33.7
46.8
TRB
44.7
27.5
AST
26.3
7.5
STL
11.1
5.2
BLK
5.6
13.9
TOV
12.0
17.9
PF
20.5
112.7
PTS
118.5

MIA
Analytics
OKC
25
Pythag Wins
44
26
Pythag Losses
8
-0.53
Margin Of Victory
13.44
112.1
O Rtg
118.5
112.7
D Rtg
105.0
96.7
Pace
99.7
.243
FTr
.211
.448
3PAr
.420
.570
TS%
.584

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA OKC
MIA OKC
Consensus
+12.0 (-110)
-12.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-111)
+12.0 (-108)
-12.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+13.0 (-108)
-13.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+13.0 (-112)
-13.0 (-112)
+13.5 (-112)
-13.5 (-109)
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-105)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA OKC
MIA OKC
Consensus
+475
-700
+550
-804
+500
-700
+550
-800
+460
-620
+540
-770
+510
-715
+550
-770
+500
-700
+500
-700
+500
-700
+575
-900
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
219.5 (-109)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
219.5 (-108)
219.5 (-112)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-109)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
218.5 (-115)
218.5 (-105)

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