Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Feb 12, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick – 2/12/2025


On February 12, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center, with the game set to tip off at 8:00 PM ET. This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, as the Thunder sit comfortably at 43-10, while the Heat struggle at 25-26.

Oklahoma City enters this contest as a massive favorite, boasting a spread of -12.5. The Thunder have been on a roll lately, winning 40 of their last 50 games, and they recently dispatched the New Orleans Pelicans with a dominant 137-101 victory. In contrast, the Miami Heat have lost 12 of their last 20 games, including a disappointing 103-85 defeat to the Boston Celtics in their last outing.

From a betting perspective, the odds reflect a significant disparity in expected outcomes. The Thunder's Moneyline sits at -660, giving them an implied win probability of 84%, while the Heat's Moneyline is +510, translating to just a 16% chance of victory. This stark contrast highlights the Thunder's current form and dominance at home.

For those interested in player props, Isaiah Hartenstein's Points and Rebounds market has garnered considerable attention, with the prop total moving from Over 20.5 Points and Rebounds at -115 to Over 22.5 at -130. Sharp bettors appear to be leaning towards the Over, indicating confidence in Hartenstein's ability to make an impact in this game.


Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 108.92 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 115.27


Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat15%32%
Thunder85%68%

Stay informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+14.0/-108
10% MIA
-14.0/-112
90% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+584
4% MIA
-852
96% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

222.5/-115
12% UN
222.5/-105
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
37.9
87.0
FGA
87.0
.465
FG%
.436
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.5
37.3
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.367
3Pt%
.342
26.8
2Pt-FG
24.5
49.7
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.538
2Pt%
.513
16.0
FT
18.3
20.2
FTA
23.7
.791
FT%
.774
9.7
ORB
11.6
33.7
DRB
33.3
43.4
TRB
44.9
26.4
AST
24.6
8.1
STL
6.7
3.8
BLK
4.8
13.6
TOV
17.0
15.5
PF
18.1
110.6
PTS
107.6

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
44.6
88.6
FGA
92.7
.466
FG%
.482
13.6
3Pt-FG
14.5
37.9
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.360
3Pt%
.374
27.6
2Pt-FG
30.1
50.6
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.545
2Pt%
.559
13.9
FT
16.7
17.9
FTA
20.4
.776
FT%
.819
10.7
ORB
10.6
33.9
DRB
34.2
44.7
TRB
44.8
26.5
AST
26.9
7.5
STL
10.3
4.7
BLK
5.7
13.8
TOV
11.7
17.0
PF
19.9
110.0
PTS
120.5

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
OKC
.544
eFG%
.513
12.4
TOV%
14.9
22.3
RB%
74.6
.183
FT/FGA
.211

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
OKC
.543
eFG%
.560
12.5
TOV%
10.3
75.8
RB%
24.2
.157
FT/FGA
.180

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
82
Games
82
41.5
FG
37.9
89.3
FGA
86.8
.465
FG%
.436
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.4
38.3
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.367
3Pt%
.342
27.5
2Pt-FG
24.4
51.0
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.538
2Pt%
.513
16.4
FT
18.3
20.7
FTA
23.7
.791
FT%
.774
10.0
ORB
11.6
34.5
DRB
33.2
44.5
TRB
44.8
27.1
AST
24.6
8.4
STL
6.7
3.9
BLK
4.8
13.9
TOV
17.0
16.0
PF
18.1
113.5
PTS
107.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
44.6
90.9
FGA
92.6
.466
FG%
.482
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.5
38.9
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.360
3Pt%
.374
28.3
2Pt-FG
30.1
52.0
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.545
2Pt%
.559
14.3
FT
16.7
18.4
FTA
20.4
.776
FT%
.819
11.0
ORB
10.6
34.8
DRB
34.1
45.8
TRB
44.7
27.2
AST
26.8
7.7
STL
10.3
4.8
BLK
5.7
14.2
TOV
11.7
17.4
PF
19.9
112.9
PTS
120.3

MIA
Analytics
OKC
42
Pythag Wins
68
40
Pythag Losses
14
0.56
Margin Of Victory
12.87
113.5
O Rtg
120.3
112.9
D Rtg
107.5
96.2
Pace
100.0
.232
FTr
.220
.429
3PAr
.419
.576
TS%
.593

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA OKC
MIA OKC
Consensus
+12.0 (-110)
-12.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-110)
-14.0 (-109)
+12.0 (-108)
-12.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-108)
-14.0 (-112)
+13.0 (-110)
-13.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-110)
-14.0 (-110)
+13.0 (-112)
-13.0 (-112)
+14.0 (-112)
-14.0 (-109)
+12.5 (-115)
-12.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-115)
-13.5 (-105)
+12.5 (-115)
-12.5 (-105)
+14.5 (-115)
-14.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA OKC
MIA OKC
Consensus
+475
-700
+584
-852
+500
-700
+600
-900
+460
-620
+610
-900
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
222.5 (-109)
222.5 (-112)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
222.0 (-105)
222.0 (-115)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-109)
222.5 (-108)
222.5 (-112)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
222.0 (-115)
222.0 (-105)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)

Related Articles