
Golden State Warriors
Miami Heat

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Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Pick – 3/25/2025
On March 25, 2025, the Golden State Warriors will face off against the Miami Heat at Kaseya Center in Miami, with the matchup set to tip-off at 7:30 PM ET. The Warriors enter the contest with a solid 41-30 record, riding high on a recent wave of success, having won 16 of their last 20 games. Despite their impressive form, they suffered a setback in their most recent outing, losing to the Atlanta Hawks 124-115 just three days ago. The extra days off could benefit the Warriors, allowing them to recover and prepare for this crucial road game.
Conversely, the Miami Heat sit at 30-41, struggling with their performance as they have lost 27 of their last 40 games. However, the Heat did manage a victory against the Charlotte Hornets in their last game, winning 122-105, which might provide a confidence boost heading into this clash.
Betting lines reflect the Warriors' status as favorites, with a spread of Warriors -5.0 and a Moneyline of -200, suggesting an implied win probability of 64%. Meanwhile, the Heat’s Moneyline sits at +170, giving them an implied win probability of 36%.
Sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Over on player props, particularly targeting Jimmy Butler’s Points and Rebounds, currently priced at Over 27.5 Points and Rebounds (-115). There’s a belief that this line may be mispriced, offering potential value for those looking to capitalize on Butler's performance.
Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction
Predicted Final Score: Golden State Warriors 116.81 vs Miami Heat 106.32
Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities
Team | Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Warriors | 65% | 80% |
Heat | 35% | 20% |
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Golden State Warriors
Miami Heat