Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors

Mar 25, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Pick – 3/25/2025


On March 25, 2025, the Golden State Warriors will face off against the Miami Heat at Kaseya Center in Miami, with the matchup set to tip-off at 7:30 PM ET. The Warriors enter the contest with a solid 41-30 record, riding high on a recent wave of success, having won 16 of their last 20 games. Despite their impressive form, they suffered a setback in their most recent outing, losing to the Atlanta Hawks 124-115 just three days ago. The extra days off could benefit the Warriors, allowing them to recover and prepare for this crucial road game.

Conversely, the Miami Heat sit at 30-41, struggling with their performance as they have lost 27 of their last 40 games. However, the Heat did manage a victory against the Charlotte Hornets in their last game, winning 122-105, which might provide a confidence boost heading into this clash.

Betting lines reflect the Warriors' status as favorites, with a spread of Warriors -5.0 and a Moneyline of -200, suggesting an implied win probability of 64%. Meanwhile, the Heat’s Moneyline sits at +170, giving them an implied win probability of 36%.

Sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Over on player props, particularly targeting Jimmy Butler’s Points and Rebounds, currently priced at Over 27.5 Points and Rebounds (-115). There’s a belief that this line may be mispriced, offering potential value for those looking to capitalize on Butler's performance.


Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Golden State Warriors 116.81 vs Miami Heat 106.32


Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Warriors65%80%
Heat35%20%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.0/-118
71% GS
+5.0/-102
29% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-185
83% GS
+156
17% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

208.5/-110
29% UN
208.5/-110
71% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Offense/Defense

GS
Four Factors
MIA
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Defense/Offense

GS
Four Factors
MIA
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

GS
Analytics
MIA
Pythag Wins
Pythag Losses
Margin Of Victory
O Rtg
D Rtg
Pace
FTr
3PAr
TS%

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
GS MIA
GS MIA
Consensus
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-111)
-5.0 (-118)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-118)
+5.0 (-102)
-4.0 (-108)
+4.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-108)
+5.0 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-113)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-102)
+4.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-102)
+5.5 (-118)
Open
Current
Book
GS MIA
GS MIA
Consensus
-185
+154
-185
+156
-198
+164
-198
+164
-172
+144
-198
+166
-177
+145
-175
+145
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
208.5 (-107)
208.5 (-112)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
208.0 (-110)
208.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
208.0 (-110)
208.0 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
209.0 (-108)
209.0 (-113)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
207.5 (-115)
207.5 (-105)

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Home NBA Picks Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Pick – 3/25/2025