Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 Prediction – 5/5/2025

On May 5, 2025, the Denver Nuggets will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 1 of their second-round Western Conference playoff series. Scheduled to tip off at 9:30 PM ET at Paycom Center, this game carries significant weight for both teams, each looking to assert dominance to begin this series. The Nuggets come into this series having advanced in seven games against the LA Clippers in round one, while the Thunder enjoyed a four-game sweep against the Memphis Grizzlies.

Oklahoma City enters the contest as heavy favorites, boasting a remarkable record of 72-15 and riding an impressive eight-game winning streak. The Thunder's recent success can be attributed to their strong roster and the advantage of an extra week of rest, which could prove crucial in a high-stakes game like this. With a current spread of Thunder -9.5 and a moneyline of -410, oddsmakers are clearly confident in Oklahoma City's ability to secure a victory.

On the other hand, the Denver Nuggets hold a solid record of 54-35 and have shown resilience, winning 30 of their last 50 games. Their latest performance included a convincing 120-101 victory over the LA Clippers, showcasing their offensive capabilities. Despite being underdogs with a moneyline of +335 and an implied win probability of just 22%, the Nuggets have the talent to challenge the Thunder.

A key player to watch in this matchup is Nikola Jokic, particularly in the Points and Rebounds prop market, which has garnered significant attention from bettors. The current line stands at Under 40.5 Points and Rebounds (-115), with sharp bettors leaning towards the Under, suggesting they see value in this line.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Denver Nuggets 112.76, Oklahoma City Thunder 120.82

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 Win Probabilities

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