Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Nov 15, 2024

New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans Pick & Prediction – 11/15/2024

  • Date: November 15, 2024
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Denver Nuggets -5 (-110), New Orleans Pelicans 5 (-110)
Over/Under: 221
Moneyline: Denver Nuggets -195, New Orleans Pelicans 170

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 64% Denver Nuggets - 83%
New Orleans Pelicans - 36% New Orleans Pelicans - 17%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

As the Denver Nuggets (7-3) prepare to face the New Orleans Pelicans (3-9) on Friday night, the Smoothie King Center will host a matchup that seems tilted in favor of the visitors. Denver enters the game riding a wave of momentum, having won their last five games, including a close 122-120 victory over the Dallas Mavericks. In contrast, the Pelicans are struggling, with six consecutive losses, most recently falling 106-88 to the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Nuggets, despite playing on the road, are favored by 5 points. This is reflected in the betting lines, where Denver's moneyline is set at -195, suggesting an implied win probability of 64%. Meanwhile, the Pelicans sit at +170, translating to a 36% chance of pulling off an upset. Denver's advantage is further bolstered by a five-day rest leading up to the game, offering their players valuable recovery time.

For those eyeing player prop bets, Trey Murphy III's performance is drawing significant attention. His Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) market has seen a surge in interest, with sharp bettors backing the Over. Initially set at 21.5 PRA (-105), it has moved to 22.5 (-110), indicating confidence in Murphy's ability to contribute significantly.

With Denver's recent form and New Orleans' struggles, the Nuggets are expected to capitalize on their momentum. However, the Pelicans will be eager to halt their skid, making for an intriguing contest. Bettors and fans alike will be keen to see if the Nuggets can continue their winning streak or if the Pelicans can turn their fortunes around on home court.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 116.04 vs New Orleans Pelicans 104.51

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Subscribe to our newsletter to get our best bets every week!

*By clicking the "Subscribe" button, you agree to receive promotional emails.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-4.5/-110
81% DEN
+4.5/-110
19% NO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-205
68% DEN
+170
29% NO

Total Pick Consensus

219.5/-108
19% UN
219.5/-112
81% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
NO
10
Games
12
43.0
FG
43.6
90.3
FGA
89.0
.476
FG%
.490
12.8
3Pt-FG
14.3
31.7
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.404
3Pt%
.388
30.2
2Pt-FG
29.3
58.6
2Pt-FGA
52.3
.515
2Pt%
.561
22.1
FT
14.3
28.3
FTA
18.4
.781
FT%
.774
13.3
ORB
11.2
33.7
DRB
31.0
47.0
TRB
42.2
30.7
AST
27.8
8.6
STL
8.2
5.0
BLK
6.7
14.3
TOV
14.4
19.1
PF
18.3
120.9
PTS
115.7

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
NO
10
Games
12
44.1
FG
39.0
93.5
FGA
88.5
.472
FG%
.441
14.0
3Pt-FG
11.2
39.5
3Pt-FGA
32.1
.354
3Pt%
.348
30.1
2Pt-FG
27.8
54.0
2Pt-FGA
56.4
.557
2Pt%
.493
15.8
FT
16.3
20.3
FTA
20.8
.778
FT%
.783
11.1
ORB
12.7
31.7
DRB
29.7
42.8
TRB
42.3
30.7
AST
24.2
8.4
STL
8.3
6.3
BLK
5.4
14.6
TOV
15.4
23.3
PF
17.1
118.0
PTS
105.4

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
NO
.547
eFG%
.570
12.2
TOV%
12.9
29.6
RB%
72.7
.245
FT/FGA
.160

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
NO
.547
eFG%
.504
12.5
TOV%
13.6
75.2
RB%
29.0
.169
FT/FGA
.184

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
10
Games
12
42.1
FG
44.9
88.5
FGA
91.6
.476
FG%
.490
12.5
3Pt-FG
14.7
31.1
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.404
3Pt%
.388
29.6
2Pt-FG
30.2
57.4
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.515
2Pt%
.561
21.7
FT
14.7
27.7
FTA
19.0
.781
FT%
.774
13.0
ORB
11.5
33.0
DRB
31.9
46.1
TRB
43.4
30.1
AST
28.6
8.4
STL
8.4
4.9
BLK
6.9
14.0
TOV
14.8
18.7
PF
18.9
118.5
PTS
119.0

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
10
Games
12
43.2
FG
40.1
91.6
FGA
91.1
.472
FG%
.441
13.7
3Pt-FG
11.5
38.7
3Pt-FGA
33.0
.354
3Pt%
.348
29.5
2Pt-FG
28.6
52.9
2Pt-FGA
58.1
.557
2Pt%
.493
15.5
FT
16.7
19.9
FTA
21.4
.778
FT%
.783
10.9
ORB
13.0
31.1
DRB
30.5
41.9
TRB
43.6
30.1
AST
24.9
8.2
STL
8.6
6.2
BLK
5.6
14.3
TOV
15.9
22.8
PF
17.6
115.6
PTS
108.5

DEN
Analytics
NO
6
Pythag Wins
3
4
Pythag Losses
9
2.90
Margin Of Victory
-10.25
118.5
O Rtg
108.5
115.6
D Rtg
119.0
100.0
Pace
97.2
.313
FTr
.234
.351
3PAr
.363
.588
TS%
.540

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN NO
DEN NO
Consensus
+2.0 (-111)
-2.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-111)
+4.5 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-112)
+8.5 (-107)
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-109)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN NO
DEN NO
Consensus
+110
-130
-193
+161
-102
-118
-205
+170
-370
+295
-194
+162
-375
+290
-195
+160
-420
+320
-195
+162
-400
+310
-200
+165
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-111)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
219.5 (-112)
219.5 (-108)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
220.5 (-108)
220.5 (-112)
225.5 (-113)
225.5 (-108)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
220.5 (-105)
220.5 (-115)