Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Nov 15, 2024

New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans Pick & Prediction – 11/15/2024

  • Date: November 15, 2024
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Denver Nuggets -5 (-110), New Orleans Pelicans 5 (-110)
Over/Under: 221
Moneyline: Denver Nuggets -195, New Orleans Pelicans 170

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 64% Denver Nuggets - 83%
New Orleans Pelicans - 36% New Orleans Pelicans - 17%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

As the Denver Nuggets (7-3) prepare to face the New Orleans Pelicans (3-9) on Friday night, the Smoothie King Center will host a matchup that seems tilted in favor of the visitors. Denver enters the game riding a wave of momentum, having won their last five games, including a close 122-120 victory over the Dallas Mavericks. In contrast, the Pelicans are struggling, with six consecutive losses, most recently falling 106-88 to the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Nuggets, despite playing on the road, are favored by 5 points. This is reflected in the betting lines, where Denver's moneyline is set at -195, suggesting an implied win probability of 64%. Meanwhile, the Pelicans sit at +170, translating to a 36% chance of pulling off an upset. Denver's advantage is further bolstered by a five-day rest leading up to the game, offering their players valuable recovery time.

For those eyeing player prop bets, Trey Murphy III's performance is drawing significant attention. His Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) market has seen a surge in interest, with sharp bettors backing the Over. Initially set at 21.5 PRA (-105), it has moved to 22.5 (-110), indicating confidence in Murphy's ability to contribute significantly.

With Denver's recent form and New Orleans' struggles, the Nuggets are expected to capitalize on their momentum. However, the Pelicans will be eager to halt their skid, making for an intriguing contest. Bettors and fans alike will be keen to see if the Nuggets can continue their winning streak or if the Pelicans can turn their fortunes around on home court.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 116.04 vs New Orleans Pelicans 104.51

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-2.0/-110
63% DEN
+2.0/-110
37% NO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-137
80% DEN
+114
20% NO

Total Pick Consensus

217.5/-108
25% UN
217.5/-112
75% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
NO
40
Games
42
44.9
FG
43.5
89.9
FGA
90.1
.500
FG%
.482
11.9
3Pt-FG
14.0
31.0
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.382
3Pt%
.365
33.1
2Pt-FG
29.4
58.9
2Pt-FGA
51.6
.562
2Pt%
.570
18.3
FT
16.1
24.1
FTA
20.3
.759
FT%
.793
11.0
ORB
12.0
34.5
DRB
34.1
45.4
TRB
46.1
30.9
AST
28.0
8.6
STL
8.9
4.8
BLK
5.5
14.4
TOV
15.0
18.2
PF
17.9
120.0
PTS
117.0

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
NO
40
Games
42
43.1
FG
39.9
93.0
FGA
90.3
.464
FG%
.442
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.0
39.1
3Pt-FGA
35.2
.353
3Pt%
.341
29.3
2Pt-FG
27.9
53.9
2Pt-FGA
55.0
.544
2Pt%
.507
16.0
FT
16.5
20.9
FTA
21.4
.769
FT%
.769
11.6
ORB
12.4
31.5
DRB
30.5
43.0
TRB
42.9
29.3
AST
25.0
9.1
STL
9.5
5.6
BLK
5.5
14.1
TOV
14.5
20.0
PF
18.2
116.0
PTS
108.3

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
NO
.566
eFG%
.560
12.6
TOV%
13.2
25.9
RB%
71.8
.204
FT/FGA
.179

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
NO
.538
eFG%
.508
12.1
TOV%
12.7
74.9
RB%
26.7
.172
FT/FGA
.182

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
40
Games
42
44.2
FG
43.9
88.3
FGA
90.9
.500
FG%
.482
11.6
3Pt-FG
14.2
30.5
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.382
3Pt%
.365
32.5
2Pt-FG
29.7
57.8
2Pt-FGA
52.1
.562
2Pt%
.570
18.0
FT
16.3
23.7
FTA
20.5
.759
FT%
.793
10.8
ORB
12.1
33.9
DRB
34.4
44.6
TRB
46.5
30.4
AST
28.3
8.5
STL
9.0
4.7
BLK
5.6
14.2
TOV
15.2
17.8
PF
18.0
117.9
PTS
118.1

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
40
Games
42
42.4
FG
40.3
91.4
FGA
91.1
.464
FG%
.442
13.5
3Pt-FG
12.1
38.4
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.353
3Pt%
.341
28.8
2Pt-FG
28.2
52.9
2Pt-FGA
55.6
.544
2Pt%
.507
15.7
FT
16.6
20.5
FTA
21.6
.769
FT%
.769
11.4
ORB
12.5
30.9
DRB
30.8
42.3
TRB
43.3
28.8
AST
25.2
8.9
STL
9.6
5.5
BLK
5.5
13.9
TOV
14.7
19.6
PF
18.4
114.0
PTS
109.3

DEN
Analytics
NO
25
Pythag Wins
11
15
Pythag Losses
31
4.00
Margin Of Victory
-8.79
117.9
O Rtg
109.3
114.0
D Rtg
118.1
100.7
Pace
98.8
.268
FTr
.237
.345
3PAr
.390
.597
TS%
.543

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN NO
DEN NO
Consensus
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-111)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-8.5 (-108)
+8.5 (-110)
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-112)
-8.5 (-106)
+8.5 (-107)
-3.0 (-106)
+3.0 (-115)
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-105)
+3.0 (-115)
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DEN NO
DEN NO
Consensus
+110
-130
-137
+114
-102
-118
-125
+105
-370
+295
-126
+108
-375
+290
-148
+123
-420
+320
-160
+135
-400
+310
-130
+105
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
217.5 (-112)
217.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
217.5 (-112)
217.5 (-108)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
225.5 (-113)
225.5 (-108)
217.5 (-112)
217.5 (-109)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
217.5 (-105)
217.5 (-115)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)