Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Pick & Prediction - 2/22/2026
Updated February 21, 2026
Updated February 21, 2026
Sunday’s NBA showdown between the Dallas Mavericks and Indiana Pacers features two teams that were a lot more competitive a season ago. The Mavericks, reeling from a 10-game losing streak, travel to Gainbridge Fieldhouse to face the Pacers, who have lost two games in a row themselves. The Mavericks head into this game as slight favorites on the road in a game that somebody has to win. Before tip-off from Indy, continue reading to find my Mavericks vs Pacers prediction.
Pick: Indiana Pacers +1.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 1 out of 5
The Mavericks’ current slide has been well-publicized as they enter this contest losers of 10 consecutive games. Dallas has been hampered by significant injuries to key contributors, including the absence of top rookie Cooper Flagg and perennial All-Star Kyrie Irving for the season.
Meanwhile, the Pacers are coming off back-to-back losses and have dealt with a rash of injuries, including the continued absence of Tyrese Haliburton and others missing time due to various issues. Indiana’s rotation has been forced to adapt, giving opportunities to younger and lesser-known players who have shown flashes of brilliance but lack consistency.
Statistic | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
Points per Game | 113.9 | 111.2 |
Points Allowed per Game | 117.5 | 118.7 |
Team Field Goal % | 47% | 45% |
Rebounds Per Game | 44.7 | 42.7 |
Assists Per Game | 25.0 | 26.1 |
In their only earlier meeting this season, the Mavericks edged the Pacers by two points in late October. Against the spread this season, Dallas has struggled at 24-31 this season, while Indiana is 28-29 against the spread going into this matchup.
Score Projection: Dallas Mavericks 113 – Indiana Pacers 116 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Dallas Mavericks 43%, Indiana Pacers 57% ATS PRO
This game should be a close one, but I'll take the Pacers to win and cover the spread on Sunday afternoon. It's hard to feel confident in the personnel on either side of this matchup given all of the injuries on both sides. But Indy has hung tough in games without Siakam and should do so at home once again.
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