Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets

Mar 23, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Pick – 3/23/2025


On March 23, 2025, the Charlotte Hornets will square off against the Miami Heat in a matchup that carries extra significance due to their divisional rivalry. The game is set to tip off at 6:00 PM ET at the Kaseya Center, where the Heat will look to break a disheartening streak of 10 consecutive losses.

The Hornets enter this contest with a record of 18-52, having struggled mightily with 38 losses in their last 50 games. Their most recent defeat came against the Oklahoma City Thunder, where they fell 141-106. Despite their challenges, the Hornets have an implied win probability of 39%, with a moneyline of +150, indicating some potential value for bettors looking for an upset.

On the other hand, the Miami Heat sit at 29-41 and are currently favored by 3.5 points. Their moneyline stands at -170, reflecting a 61% implied win probability. However, the Heat's recent form raises questions; they have not tasted victory in over a month, making them a team to watch closely for signs of life.

For those interested in player prop markets, LaMelo Ball's Points, Rebounds, and Assists are drawing attention, as this has been the most popular betting market leading up to the game. Bettors are keen on the Under, currently priced at 34.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-115), suggesting that sharp money believes this line may be mispriced.


Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Charlotte Hornets 102.32 vs Miami Heat 113.4


Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Hornets38%19%
Heat62%81%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+7.5/-108
40% CHA
-7.5/-112
60% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+225
20% CHA
-273
80% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

215.0/-108
21% UN
215.0/-112
79% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

CHA
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
38.3
FG
41.3
89.1
FGA
88.6
.430
FG%
.466
13.0
3Pt-FG
13.6
38.3
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.339
3Pt%
.360
25.3
2Pt-FG
27.6
50.8
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.499
2Pt%
.545
15.5
FT
13.9
19.8
FTA
17.9
.783
FT%
.776
12.2
ORB
10.7
33.0
DRB
33.9
45.2
TRB
44.7
24.3
AST
26.5
7.4
STL
7.5
4.5
BLK
4.7
15.5
TOV
13.8
18.7
PF
17.0
105.1
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

CHA
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
40.5
88.9
FGA
87.0
.467
FG%
.465
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.7
40.0
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.355
3Pt%
.367
27.4
2Pt-FG
26.8
49.0
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.559
2Pt%
.538
16.9
FT
16.0
21.4
FTA
20.2
.790
FT%
.791
11.3
ORB
9.7
33.9
DRB
33.7
45.2
TRB
43.4
26.8
AST
26.4
8.8
STL
8.1
5.3
BLK
3.8
13.3
TOV
13.6
18.1
PF
15.5
114.2
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

CHA
Four Factors
MIA
.503
eFG%
.543
13.7
TOV%
12.5
26.5
RB%
75.8
.174
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

CHA
Four Factors
MIA
.547
eFG%
.544
11.9
TOV%
12.4
74.5
RB%
22.3
.190
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

CHA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
39.1
FG
42.3
91.0
FGA
90.9
.430
FG%
.466
13.3
3Pt-FG
14.0
39.1
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.339
3Pt%
.360
25.9
2Pt-FG
28.3
51.8
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.499
2Pt%
.545
15.8
FT
14.3
20.2
FTA
18.4
.783
FT%
.776
12.5
ORB
11.0
33.6
DRB
34.8
46.1
TRB
45.8
24.8
AST
27.2
7.6
STL
7.7
4.6
BLK
4.8
15.8
TOV
14.2
19.1
PF
17.4
107.3
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

CHA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
42.4
FG
41.5
90.8
FGA
89.3
.467
FG%
.465
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.1
40.8
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.355
3Pt%
.367
28.0
2Pt-FG
27.5
50.0
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.559
2Pt%
.538
17.2
FT
16.4
21.8
FTA
20.7
.790
FT%
.791
11.5
ORB
10.0
34.6
DRB
34.5
46.2
TRB
44.5
27.3
AST
27.1
8.9
STL
8.4
5.4
BLK
3.9
13.6
TOV
13.9
18.5
PF
16.0
116.6
PTS
113.5

CHA
Analytics
MIA
20
Pythag Wins
42
62
Pythag Losses
40
-9.11
Margin Of Victory
0.56
107.3
O Rtg
113.5
116.6
D Rtg
112.9
97.6
Pace
96.2
.222
FTr
.232
.430
3PAr
.429
.537
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CHA MIA
CHA MIA
Consensus
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-111)
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-112)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-112)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-109)
+7.0 (-113)
-7.0 (-108)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
CHA MIA
CHA MIA
Consensus
+170
-205
+225
-273
+170
-205
+250
-310
+132
-156
+245
-300
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
213.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
215.0 (-113)
215.0 (-109)
213.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
214.0 (-112)
214.0 (-108)
211.5 (-108)
211.5 (-112)
215.5 (-112)
215.5 (-108)
211.5 (-110)
211.5 (-110)
215.0 (-113)
215.0 (-108)
212.0 (-110)
212.0 (-110)
215.0 (-105)
215.0 (-115)
212.5 (-105)
212.5 (-115)
214.5 (-115)
214.5 (-105)

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