Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

Jan 7, 2025

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets Best Bet – 1/7/2025

  • Date: January 7, 2025
  • Venue: Ball Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Boston Celtics -5.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets 5.5 (-110)
Over/Under:236
Moneyline:Boston Celtics -220, Denver Nuggets 185


Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Boston Celtics - 66%Boston Celtics - 73%
Denver Nuggets - 34%Denver Nuggets - 27%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics (26-10) face off against the Denver Nuggets (20-14) on Tuesday night at 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena. The Celtics, despite being the favorites with a spread of -5.5 and a moneyline of -215, will need to navigate the challenges of a cross-country trip and a two-time zone change. This extended road journey could hinder their performance, especially as they come off a disappointing 105-92 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder.

On the other hand, the Denver Nuggets enter this matchup with a recent victory, having defeated the San Antonio Spurs 122-111 three days prior. The extra days off provide the Nuggets with an advantage, allowing their players to rest and recover, which could play a crucial role in their performance against a fatigued Celtics squad.

Both teams have been performing well lately, with the Celtics winning 21 of their last 30 games and the Nuggets securing 18 wins in the same span. However, the Celtics' travel fatigue could be a significant factor, especially considering the Nuggets' home-court advantage.

Betting enthusiasts are particularly interested in player prop markets, with Russell Westbrook's points being a focal point. The prop total for Westbrook opened at Over 10.5 Points (-120) and has since risen to 11.5 Points (-120), indicating a strong interest from sharp bettors on the Over.

With the Celtics holding a 66% implied win probability and the Nuggets at 34%, this matchup promises to be an intriguing battle, especially with the potential impact of travel fatigue and recent performance trends.


Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Boston Celtics 124.19 vs Denver Nuggets 116.13

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.5/-112
57% BOS
+5.5/-108
43% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-230
84% BOS
+190
16% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

236.0/-112
37% UN
236.0/-108
63% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
36
Games
34
41.8
FG
43.8
90.8
FGA
93.9
.460
FG%
.467
18.4
3Pt-FG
14.0
50.2
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.367
3Pt%
.355
23.4
2Pt-FG
29.8
40.7
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.575
2Pt%
.548
16.6
FT
15.6
21.0
FTA
20.3
.790
FT%
.767
11.0
ORB
11.8
34.1
DRB
32.1
45.1
TRB
43.9
25.4
AST
30.0
7.6
STL
8.9
5.6
BLK
5.6
11.9
TOV
14.4
16.2
PF
20.3
118.5
PTS
117.2

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
36
Games
34
40.6
FG
45.1
89.8
FGA
90.6
.452
FG%
.498
12.8
3Pt-FG
11.8
36.2
3Pt-FGA
31.1
.355
3Pt%
.379
27.8
2Pt-FG
33.4
53.6
2Pt-FGA
59.5
.518
2Pt%
.560
14.3
FT
18.8
17.9
FTA
24.6
.798
FT%
.763
10.3
ORB
10.9
33.8
DRB
34.4
44.1
TRB
45.4
24.0
AST
31.7
7.0
STL
8.8
4.1
BLK
4.7
13.6
TOV
14.1
18.9
PF
18.0
108.3
PTS
120.8

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
DEN
.561
eFG%
.542
10.6
TOV%
12.3
24.5
RB%
74.4
.183
FT/FGA
.166

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
DEN
.524
eFG%
.563
12.3
TOV%
12.2
76.8
RB%
25.4
.159
FT/FGA
.207

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
36
Games
34
42.5
FG
42.8
92.4
FGA
91.6
.460
FG%
.467
18.7
3Pt-FG
13.7
51.0
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.367
3Pt%
.355
23.8
2Pt-FG
29.1
41.4
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.575
2Pt%
.548
16.9
FT
15.2
21.4
FTA
19.8
.790
FT%
.767
11.2
ORB
11.5
34.7
DRB
31.4
45.8
TRB
42.9
25.9
AST
29.3
7.7
STL
8.6
5.7
BLK
5.5
12.1
TOV
14.0
16.5
PF
19.8
120.6
PTS
114.5

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
36
Games
34
41.3
FG
44.1
91.3
FGA
88.5
.452
FG%
.498
13.1
3Pt-FG
11.5
36.8
3Pt-FGA
30.3
.355
3Pt%
.379
28.3
2Pt-FG
32.6
54.5
2Pt-FGA
58.1
.518
2Pt%
.560
14.5
FT
18.3
18.2
FTA
24.0
.798
FT%
.763
10.5
ORB
10.7
34.4
DRB
33.6
44.8
TRB
44.3
24.4
AST
31.0
7.1
STL
8.6
4.1
BLK
4.6
13.9
TOV
13.8
19.2
PF
17.6
110.2
PTS
117.9

BOS
Analytics
DEN
28
Pythag Wins
20
8
Pythag Losses
14
10.19
Margin Of Victory
3.53
120.6
O Rtg
117.9
110.2
D Rtg
114.5
97.5
Pace
101.2
.231
FTr
.271
.552
3PAr
.343
.592
TS%
.595

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS DEN
BOS DEN
Consensus
-4.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
-4.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-113)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-113)
+5.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
BOS DEN
BOS DEN
Consensus
-170
+142
-221
+185
-170
+142
-230
+190
-176
+148
-235
+194
-190
+155
-210
+175
-180
+152
-225
+185
-165
+140
-250
+190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-108)
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
236.0 (-108)
236.0 (-112)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-108)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-108)
235.5 (-109)
235.5 (-112)
236.0 (-108)
236.0 (-113)
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
235.5 (-115)
235.5 (-105)