Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

Jan 7, 2025

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets Best Bet – 1/7/2025

  • Date: January 7, 2025
  • Venue: Ball Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Boston Celtics -5.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets 5.5 (-110)
Over/Under:236
Moneyline:Boston Celtics -220, Denver Nuggets 185


Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Boston Celtics - 66%Boston Celtics - 73%
Denver Nuggets - 34%Denver Nuggets - 27%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics (26-10) face off against the Denver Nuggets (20-14) on Tuesday night at 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena. The Celtics, despite being the favorites with a spread of -5.5 and a moneyline of -215, will need to navigate the challenges of a cross-country trip and a two-time zone change. This extended road journey could hinder their performance, especially as they come off a disappointing 105-92 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder.

On the other hand, the Denver Nuggets enter this matchup with a recent victory, having defeated the San Antonio Spurs 122-111 three days prior. The extra days off provide the Nuggets with an advantage, allowing their players to rest and recover, which could play a crucial role in their performance against a fatigued Celtics squad.

Both teams have been performing well lately, with the Celtics winning 21 of their last 30 games and the Nuggets securing 18 wins in the same span. However, the Celtics' travel fatigue could be a significant factor, especially considering the Nuggets' home-court advantage.

Betting enthusiasts are particularly interested in player prop markets, with Russell Westbrook's points being a focal point. The prop total for Westbrook opened at Over 10.5 Points (-120) and has since risen to 11.5 Points (-120), indicating a strong interest from sharp bettors on the Over.

With the Celtics holding a 66% implied win probability and the Nuggets at 34%, this matchup promises to be an intriguing battle, especially with the potential impact of travel fatigue and recent performance trends.


Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Boston Celtics 124.19 vs Denver Nuggets 116.13

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-10.5/-110
49% BOS
+10.5/-110
51% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-464
83% BOS
+358
17% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

231.0/-110
53% UN
231.0/-110
47% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
64
Games
63
41.7
FG
43.1
90.1
FGA
92.9
.462
FG%
.464
17.8
3Pt-FG
13.9
47.9
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.371
3Pt%
.363
23.9
2Pt-FG
29.2
42.2
2Pt-FGA
54.6
.565
2Pt%
.535
15.8
FT
16.2
19.9
FTA
20.7
.797
FT%
.781
11.0
ORB
11.6
33.9
DRB
30.6
45.0
TRB
42.2
25.8
AST
29.2
7.3
STL
8.9
5.6
BLK
5.1
11.9
TOV
13.2
16.2
PF
18.9
117.0
PTS
116.3

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
64
Games
63
40.6
FG
45.8
89.8
FGA
90.2
.453
FG%
.508
12.7
3Pt-FG
12.1
36.5
3Pt-FGA
31.7
.348
3Pt%
.383
27.9
2Pt-FG
33.7
53.3
2Pt-FGA
58.5
.524
2Pt%
.576
14.3
FT
17.6
18.0
FTA
22.7
.790
FT%
.776
10.5
ORB
11.2
33.6
DRB
34.7
44.1
TRB
45.9
24.0
AST
31.3
6.9
STL
8.2
3.8
BLK
4.7
13.1
TOV
14.3
18.2
PF
17.6
108.2
PTS
121.5

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
DEN
.561
eFG%
.539
10.7
TOV%
11.5
24.7
RB%
74.9
.176
FT/FGA
.174

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
DEN
.523
eFG%
.576
11.8
TOV%
12.5
76.3
RB%
26.8
.159
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
64
Games
63
42.8
FG
42.7
92.6
FGA
92.0
.462
FG%
.464
18.3
3Pt-FG
13.8
49.2
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.371
3Pt%
.363
24.5
2Pt-FG
29.0
43.3
2Pt-FGA
54.1
.565
2Pt%
.535
16.3
FT
16.0
20.4
FTA
20.5
.797
FT%
.781
11.3
ORB
11.5
34.9
DRB
30.3
46.2
TRB
41.8
26.5
AST
28.9
7.4
STL
8.8
5.7
BLK
5.1
12.2
TOV
13.1
16.7
PF
18.7
120.1
PTS
115.2

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
64
Games
63
41.7
FG
45.4
92.2
FGA
89.3
.453
FG%
.508
13.0
3Pt-FG
12.0
37.5
3Pt-FGA
31.4
.348
3Pt%
.383
28.7
2Pt-FG
33.4
54.7
2Pt-FGA
57.9
.524
2Pt%
.576
14.6
FT
17.5
18.5
FTA
22.5
.790
FT%
.776
10.8
ORB
11.1
34.5
DRB
34.3
45.3
TRB
45.4
24.6
AST
31.0
7.1
STL
8.1
3.9
BLK
4.7
13.4
TOV
14.2
18.6
PF
17.4
111.1
PTS
120.3

BOS
Analytics
DEN
48
Pythag Wins
41
16
Pythag Losses
22
8.75
Margin Of Victory
5.16
120.1
O Rtg
120.3
111.1
D Rtg
115.2
96.6
Pace
100.1
.220
FTr
.252
.532
3PAr
.352
.591
TS%
.606

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS DEN
BOS DEN
Consensus
-4.0 (-109)
+4.0 (-110)
-10.5 (-109)
+10.5 (-109)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-5.0 (-114)
+5.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-114)
+10.0 (-107)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
BOS DEN
BOS DEN
Consensus
-170
+142
-464
+358
-170
+142
-455
+350
-176
+148
-480
+370
-190
+155
-500
+375
-180
+152
-480
+360
-165
+140
-500
+360
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
231.0 (-113)
231.0 (-109)
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-108)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.5 (-109)
235.5 (-112)
231.0 (-113)
231.0 (-108)
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)

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