Montana De La Rosa vs Luana Carolina Prediction: Who Wins Women’s Flyweight Matchup?

Jay Sanin on February 25th, 2025

On Saturday night, Montana De La Rosa and Luana Carolina will do battle in a women’s flyweight matchup during the prelims of the UFC Fight Night card headlined by Manel Kape and Asu Almabayev. Both fighters enter this bout off of a win in their last outing and will look to continue their winning ways at the expense of one another here.

Continue reading to get our preview of Montana De La Rosa vs Luana Carolina from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Here, we will break down how each fighter has looked coming into this matchup. We will also take a closer look at the betting markets for this fight. With Carolina coming in as a slight favorite in this matchup, we will determine if she is the one to back, or if De La Rosa can get the job done as an underdog.

Montana De La Rosa Looks For Second Straight Win

Going into this weekend, Montana De La Rosa has a record of 13-9-1 in her professional MMA career. She has dropped three of her last four fights, but did get a win in her last bout against Andrea Lee. The problem with that is that Lee has been a disaster over the last five years or so, losing eight of her last 10 fights in UFC. Now the question for those making UFC predictions for this weekend’s card is whether the win over Lee is a sign that De La Rosa is on the right track or if it was just a good night against a struggling fighter.

One thing that is likely when Montana De La Rosa is involved in a fight is that it will go the distance. Seven of her last nine fights have gone the distance, including her split decision win over Lee back in June of 2024. It is possible that the longer this fight goes, the more the time factor could benefit De La Rosa, but that remains to be seen given her recent struggles.

Can Luana Carolina Get Fourth Consecutive Victory?

Luana Carolina has won three fights in a row heading into her matchup with Montana De La Rosa in Vegas this Saturday. The most recent of those wins for the Brazilian was a comfortable decision victory over Lucie Pudilova. Now Carolina will look for a fourth win in a row as she looks to improve her winning percentage as a professional MMA fighter to 80% with a win in this outing.

An encouraging sign for Carolina heading into this fight was her ability to prevent Pudilova from getting her to the ground with regularity last time out. In women’s MMA, there is nothing more dangerous than spending prolonged periods of time on the mat, as that leads to rounds getting away and the need to try and force a late finish. If Carolina can avoid that again in this fight, she could come away with a fourth win in a row.