On Saturday, April 26, 2025, the UFC returns to Kansas City with a compelling welterweight main event, which will be Ian Machado Garry vs Carlos Prates. This matchup pits two dynamic strikers against each other, promising an electrifying contest that has captured the attention of fight fans and bettors to close out the night in the octagon.
Ian Machado Garry vs Carlos Prates Preview
Ian Machado Garry, known as “The Future,” enters the octagon with a professional record of 15-1. The 27-year-old Irishman suffered his first career loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov in December 2024, a unanimous decision that halted his eight-fight UFC winning streak. Garry’s previous victories include notable wins over Michael Page, Geoff Neal, and Neil Magny, showcasing his technical striking and composure under pressure.
Standing across from him is Carlos Prates, a 31-year-old Brazilian fighter with a 21-6 record. Prates has made a significant impact since his UFC debut in February 2024, securing four consecutive knockout victories against Trevin Giles, Charles Radtke, Li Jingliang, and Neil Magny. His Muay Thai background, honed through over 100 fights in Thailand, has translated into a formidable striking arsenal in MMA.
Physically, Garry stands at 6’3″ with a 74-inch reach, while Prates measures 6’1″ with a 78-inch reach. Garry’s height advantage may aid in controlling distance, but Prates’ longer reach could neutralize this benefit, especially in striking exchanges.
Betting Insights
As of now, betting lines have Garry as a slight favorite, reflecting his higher ranking and UFC experience. At Sportzino, Garry is a -132 favorite, while Prates comes in at +108. Prates’ recent performances and knockout power have narrowed the odds, indicating a closely contested bout.
- Ian Machado Garry: 15-1 record, 7 wins by knockout, 1 by submission, 7 by decision.
- Carlos Prates: 21-6 record, 16 wins by knockout, 3 by submission, 2 by decision.
Prates’ propensity for early finishes is noteworthy, with all four of his UFC victories coming by knockout within the first two rounds. Bettors might consider wagering on a quick finish if they favor Prates, while those backing Garry may look toward a decision victory, given his track record of outpointing opponents over three rounds.
Ian Machado Garry vs Carlos Prates Prediction
Carlos Prates (+108) over Ian Machado Garry
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- Prates has won all four of his UFC fights by knockout.
- We saw Garry stumble in his last fight against quality competition and he could do so again in this main event slot.
This matchup presents a classic striker versus striker scenario, with both fighters possessing the tools to end the fight standing. Garry’s technical proficiency and movement could allow him to control the pace and distance, potentially leading to a decision victory. However, Prates’ explosive power and aggressive style pose a significant threat, especially in the early rounds.
Considering Prates’ recent form and finishing ability, he may have the edge if he can close the distance and land significant strikes early. Garry’s resilience and experience against top-tier opponents could carry him through the storm, but he must avoid engaging in prolonged striking exchanges where Prates thrives.
Given the factors at play, the prediction leans toward Carlos Prates securing a victory via knockout in the early rounds. His momentum, striking prowess, and ability to capitalize on openings make him a formidable opponent for Garry, who will need to execute a flawless game plan to emerge victorious.
