Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 29, 2024

Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore Orioles
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Game 1 Prediction – 7/29/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Game 1 Details

  • Date: July 29, 2024
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Yariel Rodriguez - Blue Jays
    • Zach Eflin - Orioles

Blue Jays vs Orioles Game 1 Betting Odds

Moneyline: Blue Jays +164, Orioles -198
Runline: Blue Jays 1.5 -125, Orioles -1.5 +105
Over/Under Total: 8.5

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Game 1 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Toronto Blue Jays - 37.88% Toronto Blue Jays - 36.78%
Baltimore Orioles - 66.44% Baltimore Orioles - 63.22%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Game 1 Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays will open their double-header in Game 1 of that twin-bill on July 29, 2024. The Orioles come into this game in first place in the AL East this season at 62-43, a game ahead of the New York Yankees. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are 49-56, sitting in last place in the AL East. Toronto has won three games in a row going into this matchup, however, and they will look to keep things rolling this afternoon.

Yariel Rodriguez will start for the visiting Blue Jays in this contest. Rodriguez is 1-3 for the season with a 3.69 ERA. He has performed well in his last three starts, allowing four earned runs combined over those starts, in a total of 15.2 innings of work. Toronto will hope he can go deep into this game to preserve their bullpen for Game 2 of today's double-header.

On the Orioles side, Zach Eflin will get the start. Eflin is 5-7 with a 4.09 ERA for the season, a season he has spent with the Tampa Bay Rays until now. Eflin will look to make an impact as a member of the Orioles for the first time in this contest, as he looks to help his team not just win this game but position themselves well for Game 2 between the Orioles and Blue Jays.

Toronto is coming off of an impressive series at home against the defending champion Texas Rangers. The Blue Jays swept Baltimore over the course of three games, bringing them some much-needed momentum heading into this series against a division rival. But consistency has been the issue for the Jays all season long and they will need to sustain the level they produced against Texas over the weekend if they want to make a dent in the huge deficit they face in the AL East standings.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Game 1 Prediction

Final Score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.02 vs Baltimore Orioles 4.55

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+141
11% TOR
-166
89% BAL

Total Pick Consensus

8.5/+102
4% UN
8.5/-122
96% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-148
16% TOR
-1.5/+124
84% BAL

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
TOR
Team Stats
BAL
3.68
ERA
4.12
.238
Batting Avg Against
.243
1.24
WHIP
1.28
.294
BABIP
.299
8.0%
BB%
8.3%
25.1%
K%
23.9%
76.4%
LOB%
73.2%
.260
Batting Avg
.251
.415
SLG
.420
.746
OPS
.737
.331
OBP
.318
TOR
Team Records
BAL
38-37
Home
42-34
34-42
Road
42-33
58-60
vRHP
62-48
14-19
vLHP
22-19
38-55
vs>.500
33-36
34-24
vs<.500
51-31
5-5
Last10
3-7
9-11
Last20
8-12
15-15
Last30
13-17
Y. Rodríguez
Z. Eflin
N/A
Innings
N/A
N/A
GS
N/A
N/A
W-L
N/A
N/A
ERA
N/A
N/A
K/9
N/A
N/A
BB/9
N/A
N/A
HR/9
N/A
N/A
LOB%
N/A
N/A
HR/FB%
N/A
N/A
FIP
N/A
N/A
xFIP
N/A

Y. Rodríguez

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

Z. Eflin

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/1 NYM
Scherzer N/A
L6-10 N/A
4.1
8
6
5
3
1
54-85
4/26 COL
Marquez N/A
W10-3 N/A
6
2
1
1
3
1
61-91
4/20 COL
Marquez N/A
W9-6 N/A
5.2
8
4
2
5
0
57-86
4/15 MIA
Lopez N/A
L1-7 N/A
4
6
4
4
4
1
49-81
4/10 OAK
Jefferies N/A
L1-4 N/A
4
2
0
0
3
2
42-68

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TOR BAL
TOR BAL
Consensus
+165
-198
+141
-166
+160
-192
+136
-162
+166
-198
+138
-164
+163
-195
+143
-167
+158
-190
+140
-165
+155
-190
+145
-175
Open
Current
Book
TOR BAL
TOR BAL
Consensus
+1.5 (-148)
-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-148)
-1.5 (+123)
+1.5 (-148)
-1.5 (+102)
+1.5 (-148)
-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-152)
-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-152)
-1.5 (+126)
+1.5 (-152)
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-152)
-1.5 (+123)
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+110)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.5 (-122)
8.5 (+100)
8.5 (-123)
8.5 (+102)
9.0 (-110)
9.0 (-110)
8.5 (-122)
8.5 (+102)
8.5 (-122)
8.5 (+100)
8.5 (-122)
8.5 (+100)
9.0 (-113)
9.0 (-108)
9.0 (+102)
9.0 (-122)
9.0 (-110)
9.0 (-110)
8.5 (-130)
8.5 (+110)
9.0 (-105)
9.0 (-115)
9.0 (+100)
9.0 (-120)