Texas Rangers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction – 3/31/2025

Texas Rangers vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

As the Cincinnati Reds prepare to host the Texas Rangers on March 31, 2025, they are looking to bounce back from a rocky start to the season, currently holding a record of 1-2. Meanwhile, the Rangers come into this matchup riding high with a strong 3-1 record, showcasing a solid offensive attack despite ranking just 24th overall in the league.

In this interleague matchup, the Reds are projected to start right-handed pitcher Brady Singer, who has been deemed an average talent at 109th among starting pitchers in MLB according to the leading MLB projection system. Singer's performance thus far has been less than stellar, as he projects to allow an average of 2.6 earned runs over 5.2 innings, but his tendency to give up 4.9 hits and 1.6 walks per game raises concerns for Cincinnati's shaky bullpen, which ranks 22nd in the league.

On the other hand, the Rangers will counter with Kumar Rocker, who has shown potential as a solid starter, ranked 41st among his peers. Rocker’s projections suggest he’ll allow only 1.7 earned runs over 3.9 innings, although his high hit and walk allowance present vulnerabilities that could be exploited by the Reds.

Despite the Reds' current struggles, including a dismal ranking of 26th in team batting average, they do have a strong base running game, ranking 3rd in stolen bases. This could provide a spark that might lead to a closer contest than the moneyline suggests; Cincinnati's odds currently sit at +100, indicating a higher implied total of 4.39 runs. With a Game Total of 9.0 runs set high, fans can expect an exciting matchup in what is the first of a series between these two teams.

Quick Takes Texas Rangers:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Kumar Rocker to have a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.

• A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.

Hitting the ball to all fields is an important skill for batting average that Joc Pederson has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his ranking in the 2nd percentile on THE BAT X's Spray Score.

• Hitters who are unable to spray the ball around the field tend to have weak bat control and are predictable for the opposing defense, making hits tougher to come by.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Texas Rangers' bullpen projects as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in Major League Baseball.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Cincinnati Reds:

TJ Friedl has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 12.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

• xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player's home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.

Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 133 games (+15.45 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)

• Date: March 31, 2025
• Venue: Great American Ball Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Kumar Rocker - Rangers
  • Brady Singer - Reds

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.