Tampa Bay Rays VS Colorado Rockies Betting Pick & Preview – 4/5/2024

Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies Overview

• Date: April 5, 2024
• Venue: Coors Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Zack Littell - Rays
  • Austin Gomber - Rockies
• Run Line: Rays -1.5 (-118), Rockies +1.5 (-102)
• Money Line: Rays -170, Rockies +142
• Total (Over/Under): 12.5

Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Tampa Bay Rays - 62.96%
• Colorado Rockies - 41.32%

Projected Win %:

• Tampa Bay Rays - 55.24%
• Colorado Rockies - 44.76%

Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies Game Preview & Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays will be facing off against the Colorado Rockies in an Interleague matchup on April 5, 2024. The game will take place at Coors Field, with the Rockies as the home team.

The Rockies have had a rough start to the season, with a record of 1-6. Their offense has struggled, ranking 18th in MLB in team batting average and 24th in team home runs. Additionally, they have the worst ranking in stolen bases, sitting at 30th out of 30 teams. Despite this, the Rockies will be looking to turn their season around with a strong performance against the Rays.

On the other hand, the Rays have a record of 3-4 this season. Their offense has been more productive, ranking 9th in team batting average, 4th in team home runs, and an impressive 2nd in team stolen bases. The Rays will aim to continue their solid performance and secure a win against the struggling Rockies.

The projected starting pitchers for this game are Austin Gomber for the Rockies and Zack Littell for the Rays. Gomber is a left-handed pitcher, while Littell is a right-handed pitcher. Both pitchers will be looking to deliver a strong performance and give their team the best chance to win.

This game marks the first in the series between the Rockies and the Rays. It will be interesting to see how these two teams match up and how the game unfolds. The Rockies will rely on their home-field advantage at Coors Field to try and secure a victory.

Over the last seven games, Charlie Blackmon has been the Rockies' best hitter. He has played in six games, recorded 10 hits, 5 RBIs, and 1 stolen base, with a batting average of .417 and an OPS of 1.065. For the Rays, Randy Arozarena has been their best hitter over the last seven games. He has played in seven games, recorded 6 hits, 5 runs, 4 RBIs, 2 home runs, and 2 stolen bases, with an OPS of 0.833.

As the game approaches, both teams will be looking to capitalize on their strengths and exploit their opponent's weaknesses. The Rays' strong offense will be a key factor to watch, while the Rockies will hope for a standout performance from their starting pitcher. With the game taking place at Coors Field, known for its high-scoring games, fans can expect an exciting matchup between these two teams.

Quick Takes Tampa Bay Rays:

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Zack Littell has been granted a below-average leash since the start of last season, throwing an -9.0 fewer adjusted pitches each start.

• Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.

Jose Siri has big-time power (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (34.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Austin Gomber doesn't generate many whiffs (3rd percentile K%) — great news for Siri.

• If he is less likely to strikeout, he'll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that the Tampa Bay Rays will tally 6.42 runs on average in this matchup: the most of all teams in action today.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

Due to his reverse platoon split, Austin Gomber will be in a good position being matched up with 9 batters in the projected batting order of opposing handedness in this game.

• A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Charlie Blackmon stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

• Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Elias Diaz (the Rockies's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a horrible pitch framer.

• Pitch framing is a catcher's ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, "stealing" strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Game Trends

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+12.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 23 games at home (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Final Score Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays 6.42 vs Colorado Rockies 5.45

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