St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 20, 2024

Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves
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St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves Game 1 Pick For 7/20/2024

St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Game 1 Details

  • Date: July 20, 2024
  • Venue: Truist Park
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Kyle Gibson - Cardinals
    • Charlie Morton - Braves

Cardinals vs Braves Game 1 Betting Odds

Moneyline: Cardinals +110, Braves -130
Runline: Cardinals +1.5 -180, Braves -1.5 +150
Over/Under Total: 9

St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Game 1 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
St. Louis Cardinals - 47.62% St. Louis Cardinals - 45.54%
Atlanta Braves - 56.52% Atlanta Braves - 54.46%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Game 1 Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals will face off with the Atlanta Braves in Game 1 of a doubleheader on Saturday, July 20. Friday's series opener between these teams was postponed, setting up this twin-bill, one that has major NL Wild Card implications. The Braves are in first place in the NL Wild Card standings, while the Cardinals sit in second, as both teams look to use this doubleheader to bolster their postseason prospects.

St. Louis is sending Kyle Gibson to the mound to start this first game of the day. Gibson is 7-3 on the season, but his 4.16 ERA and 1.36 WHIP suggest that he is not as good as his record has shown to this point in the season.

Meanwhile, Atlanta is sending Charlie Morton to the hill for this game. Morton is 5-5 on the season so far, posting an ERA of 4.07. Against a Cardinals offense that is well below average from a run production standpoint in the National League, Morton has a great chance to get his ERA under 4.00 if he brings his best today.

According to the betting markets for this matchup, we should be in for a close game, as the Braves are only slight favorites at -130. Typically it is hard to sweep a doubleheader in Major League Baseball and today could be no exception. But both teams will be looking to set the tone in this series opener from Truist Park in Atlanta.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Game 1 Prediction

Final Score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.22 vs Atlanta Braves 4.47

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+115
0% STL
-136
0% ATL

Total Pick Consensus

8.5/-102
0% UN
8.5/-118
0% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-175
0% STL
-1.5/+145
0% ATL

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
STL
Team Stats
ATL
4.59
ERA
3.86
.268
Batting Avg Against
.240
1.43
WHIP
1.28
.322
BABIP
.300
8.3%
BB%
8.7%
20.4%
K%
24.5%
69.8%
LOB%
74.1%
.259
Batting Avg
.275
.436
SLG
.502
.770
OPS
.847
.333
OBP
.345
STL
Team Records
ATL
44-37
Home
46-35
39-42
Road
43-38
59-59
vRHP
60-56
24-20
vLHP
29-17
44-48
vs>.500
52-41
39-31
vs<.500
37-32
6-4
Last10
7-3
11-9
Last20
12-8
18-12
Last30
17-13
K. Gibson
C. Morton
N/A
Innings
128.2
N/A
GS
23
N/A
W-L
11-10
N/A
ERA
3.71
N/A
K/9
9.51
N/A
BB/9
4.55
N/A
HR/9
0.91
N/A
LOB%
78.2%
N/A
HR/FB%
10.9%
N/A
FIP
4.17
N/A
xFIP
4.37

K. Gibson

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
4/30 NYM
Walker N/A
W4-1 N/A
4.1
2
1
0
3
5
47-84
4/25 COL
Freeland N/A
W8-2 N/A
5.2
3
2
2
4
2
59-94
4/19 COL
Freeland N/A
L5-6 N/A
6
6
3
3
3
2
56-90
4/14 MIA
Alcantara N/A
L3-4 N/A
4.2
5
4
4
6
3
56-91
4/9 OAK
Irvin N/A
W4-2 N/A
7
2
0
0
10
0
57-82

C. Morton

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/3 NYM
Peterson N/A
L4-5 N/A
5.2
6
5
4
3
3
63-99
4/27 CHC
Jr N/A
L3-6 N/A
2.1
4
3
3
1
4
38-70
4/20 LAD
Gonsolin N/A
L1-5 N/A
5.1
6
4
4
4
3
49-95
4/14 SD
Musgrove N/A
L1-12 N/A
5
9
5
5
5
3
58-95
4/8 CIN
Sanmartin N/A
W7-6 N/A
5.1
2
2
2
5
1
51-78

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
STL ATL
STL ATL
Consensus
+127
-152
+115
-136
+130
-155
+120
-142
+126
-148
+120
-142
+132
-155
+118
-137
+130
-155
-125
+105
+125
-150
+120
-145
Open
Current
Book
STL ATL
STL ATL
Consensus
+1.5 (-179)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-179)
-1.5 (+148)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+136)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (135)
-1.5 (+140)
-1.5 (+135)
+1.5 (-160)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+135)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+145)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
9.0 (+100)
9.0 (-120)
8.5 (-104)
8.5 (-116)
8.5 (-122)
8.5 (+102)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-118)
8.5 (-104)
8.0 (-120)
8.0 (-102)
9.0 (+102)
9.0 (-122)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
9.0 (+105)
9.0 (-125)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
9.0 (-105)
9.0 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)