Seattle Mariners VS Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Preview – 4/8/2024

Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Overview

• Date: April 8, 2024
• Venue: Rogers Centre
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Luis Castillo - Mariners
  • Jose Berrios - Blue Jays
• Run Line: Mariners 1.5 -205, Blue Jays -1.5 175
• Money Line: Mariners -105, Blue Jays -115
• Total (Over/Under):8 -115

Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Seattle Mariners - 49%
• Toronto Blue Jays - 51%

Projected Win %:

• Seattle Mariners - 49.4%
• Toronto Blue Jays - 50.6%

Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Game Preview & Prediction

The Toronto Blue Jays are set to face off against the Seattle Mariners on April 8, 2024, with the Blue Jays as the home team. The game will take place at Rogers Centre, marking an American League matchup between the two teams. Both the Blue Jays and the Mariners have struggled this season, each holding a record of 4-6.

The Blue Jays are projected to start right-handed pitcher Jose Berrios, while the Mariners are set to start right-hander Luis Castillo. Berrios has started two games this season, boasting a win-loss record of 1-0 and an impressive ERA of 2.25. However, his 3.85 xFIP suggests that he may have been fortunate so far and could regress in future performances.

In contrast, Castillo has started two games as well, but holds a win-loss record of 0-2 and a concerning ERA of 6.75. However, his 3.33 xFIP indicates that he may have been unlucky and could perform better going forward. This matchup presents an interesting dynamic between a pitcher with solid results but potential regression, and a pitcher with poor results but potential improvement.

The Blue Jays, with a record of 4-6, have been struggling this season. Their offense ranks as the 23rd best in MLB, but their team batting average ranks a strong 5th. The Mariners, also sitting at 4-6, have faced similar struggles with the 27th best offense in the league, as well as a 24th ranking in team batting average.

In terms of bullpen strength, the Blue Jays rank 15th in MLB, while the Mariners find themselves ranked 28th. This could be a factor to consider, as a stronger bullpen can provide an advantage in close games.

When it comes to individual performances, Justin Turner has been the standout hitter for the Blue Jays over the last seven games, while Luis Urias has been leading the charge for the Mariners. These players' recent performances could have an impact on the outcome of the game.

Overall, the Blue Jays are favored to win this game with a projected team total of 4.10 runs, compared to the Mariners' average implied team total of 3.90 runs. However, betting markets indicate that it will be a closely contested matchup.

Quick Takes Seattle Mariners:

Luis Castillo will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing bats today.

• Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners's expected catcher in today's game) projects as an elite pitch framer.

• Pitch framing is a catcher's ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, "stealing" strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Quick Takes Toronto Blue Jays:

Out of every team playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

Justin Turner is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#2-worst on the slate today).

• This player's skill set matches up well with the opposing team's defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 80 games at home (+10.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+10.89 Units / 23% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+6.40 Units / 43% ROI)

Final Score Prediction: Seattle Mariners 4.45 vs Toronto Blue Jays 4.22

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.