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San Diego Padres Betting Preview
Last season was a strange one for the San Diego Padres. They had a stellar run differential and finished above .500 on the season. But they outperformed their Pythag and Baseruns records by nearly 10 games and failed to make the playoffs. This season, they will look to rebound and get back to the postseason behind a potent lineup.
However, the Padres will have to overcome some major adversity if they are going to get back to the playoffs. They lost some serious talent both at the plate and on the mound, with Juan Soto leaving for the Yankees and last year’s Cy Young winner Blake Snell also not returning. Because of that, the Padres could be in for a tough 2024 campaign.
2024 Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
| Sportsbook | Over/Under Wins |
|---|---|
| DraftKings | 83.5 |
| Fubo Sportsbook | 83.5 |
San Diego Padres Futures Betting Odds
SD 
Standings Data
| 2023 | |
|---|---|
| Actual Record | 82-80 |
| Run Differential | +104 |
| Pythagorean W/L | 92-70 |
| BaseRuns Record | 91-71 |
| BaseRuns Run Differential | +91 |
San Diego Padres Picks, Preditions & Betting News
Offseason Transactions
Key Additions: Michael King, Jhony Brito, Wandy Peralta, Kyle Higashioka
Key Departures: Juan Soto, Josh Hader, Blake Snell, Michael Wacha, Seth Lugo
There was simply an exodus of talent from the Padres in the offseason. They lost a quality closer in Josh Hader, an elite bat in Juan Soto, and multiple quality pitchers including the NL Cy Young winner from last season in Snell. They did not bring in enough talent to offset those losses in the short-term, even if they may have a brighter future thanks to their prospect haul from the Soto trade with the Yankees.
Offensive Outlook
Offensively, the Padres were in the middle of the pack in the National League in terms of scoring. But they were not an elite offensive team like they had been in the past. And by offloading Soto in the offseason this year, the Padres aren’t likely to get much better in that department. Even if San Diego does get a full season of Fernando Tatis Jr. this year, Tatis is going to have to really step things up to keep things on track offensively for this team.
Pitching Outlook
Only the Milwaukee Brewers gave up fewer runs in the National League last season than the Padres. But this year should look a lot different for this team from a pitching perspective. Losing Wacha, Snell, and Hader will negatively impact this team both on the front and back ends of their pitching staff. With the bullpen for the Padres already being a big negative for this team, things could get even worse for San Diego.
Positives & Negatives
As far as positives go, the bats that still remain on the Padres roster are pretty big ones. San Diego still has plenty of pop in their lineup and they should be able to score with some of the better offenses in the league if they can stay healthy. But on the flip side, the Padres pitching staff should take a huge step backward this season and that could derail any hopes this team has of being a serious contender.
San Diego Padres Pick & Prediction: Under 83.5
We are taking the under on the season win total for the Padres this season. They simply lost too much pitching in order to trust them to go toe-to-toe with both the reigning National League pennant winners and this year’s World Series favorites in their division. San Diego should finish below the .500 mark this season and struggle against teams with better batting orders.
