Willi Castro MLB projections and prop bets for Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins on Sep 29, 2024
Willi Castro Player Prop Bet: RBIs
RBIs Prop Bet Odds:
- RBIs 0.5 over: 210
- RBIs 0.5 under: -275
Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Target Field projects as the #5 venue in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today.
Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 18.2% on the season to 27.8% in the last two weeks.
Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Prop Bet
Willi Castro is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
In MLB, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest.
Target Field has the 5th-tallest fences in the league.
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for mound aces.
Willi Castro's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 87.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83.6-mph over the past 7 days.
Projection For Willi Castro RBIs Prop Bet
Willi Castro is projected to have 0.4 RBIs in this weeks game.
Willi Castro Player Prop Bet: Total Bases
Total Bases Prop Bet Odds:
- Total Bases 1.5 over: 140
- Total Bases 1.5 under: -190
Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Target Field projects as the #5 venue in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today.
Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 18.2% on the season to 27.8% in the last two weeks.
Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Prop Bet
Willi Castro is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
In MLB, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest.
Target Field has the 5th-tallest fences in the league.
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for mound aces.
Willi Castro's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 87.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83.6-mph over the past 7 days.
Projection For Willi Castro Total Bases Prop Bet
Willi Castro is projected to have 1.4 Total Bases in this weeks game.
Willi Castro Player Prop Bet: Hits Runs and RBIs
Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet Odds:
- Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: -110
- Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Target Field projects as the #5 venue in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today.
Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 18.2% on the season to 27.8% in the last two weeks.
Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
Willi Castro is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
In MLB, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest.
Target Field has the 5th-tallest fences in the league.
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for mound aces.
Willi Castro's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 87.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83.6-mph over the past 7 days.
Projection For Willi Castro Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
Willi Castro is projected to have 1.8 Hits Runs and RBIs in this weeks game.
Willi Castro Player Prop Bet: Hits
Hits Prop Bet Odds:
- Hits 2.5 over: 1400
- Hits 2.5 under: -4000
Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today.
Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 18.2% on the season to 27.8% in the last two weeks.
Trends Favoring The Under Hits Prop Bet
Willi Castro is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
In MLB, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest.
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for mound aces.
Willi Castro's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 87.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83.6-mph over the past 7 days.
Projection For Willi Castro Hits Prop Bet
Willi Castro is projected to have 0.9 Hits in this weeks game.
Willi Castro Player Prop Bet: Home Runs
Home Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Home Runs 0.5 over: 700
- Home Runs 0.5 under: -1200
Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop Bet
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today.
Last year, Willi Castro had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 14.3°.
Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 18.2% on the season to 27.8% in the last two weeks.
In terms of his home runs, Willi Castro has experienced some negative variance this year. His 11.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.2.
Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Prop Bet
Willi Castro is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
In MLB, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest.
Target Field has the 5th-tallest fences in the league.
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for mound aces.
Willi Castro's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 87.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83.6-mph over the past 7 days.
Projection For Willi Castro Home Runs Prop Bet
Willi Castro is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in this weeks game.
