Will Warren Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 14.5 over: -164

Pitching Outs 14.5 under: 122

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the Athletics offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Sutter Health Park profiles as the #26 field in the majors for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 6th-deepest LF fences in MLB are found in Sutter Health Park.

Will Warren is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Sutter Health Park — the #9 HR venue among all parks — in today's game.

Will Warren was on point in his previous game started and conceded 2 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Will Warren has averaged 12.3 outs per start this year, placing in the 6th percentile.

In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Will Warren (46.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Sacramento's projected batting order.

The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Will Warren is projected to have 15.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -113

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Will Warren's 2523-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 95th percentile out of all SPs.

Will Warren has put up a 25.5% strikeout rate since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Will Warren (46.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Sacramento's projected batting order.

Will Warren will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Will Warren has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.8% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.

Given the 2.35 discrepancy between Will Warren's 11.04 K/9 and his 8.69 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to negatively regress in future games.

Will Warren is projected to have 4.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Will Warren (46.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Sacramento's projected batting order.

The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Will Warren will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the Athletics offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Sutter Health Park profiles as the #26 field in the majors for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 6th-deepest LF fences in MLB are found in Sutter Health Park.

Will Warren is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Sutter Health Park — the #9 HR venue among all parks — in today's game.

Will Warren was on point in his previous game started and conceded 2 ER.

Will Warren is projected to have 3.1 Earned Runs in today's game.