Tylor Megill Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 145

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -192

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, Tylor Megill's overall pitching talent ranks in the 83rd percentile among all SPs in the league currently.

The league's 2nd-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Fenway Park.

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 49°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 17.3-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.

Because groundball batters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Tylor Megill (33.6% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team's projected offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Tylor Megill has recorded 14.4 outs per GS this year, placing in the 19th percentile.

The #2 park in the game for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park.

Out of every team today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tylor Megill in today's game.

Tylor Megill is projected to have 14.8 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The #2 park in the game for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park.

Out of every team today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tylor Megill in today's game.

Tylor Megill's 94.7-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1-mph drop off from last year's 95.7-mph figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, Tylor Megill's overall pitching talent ranks in the 83rd percentile among all SPs in the league currently.

The league's 2nd-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Fenway Park.

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 49°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 17.3-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.

Because groundball batters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Tylor Megill (33.6% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team's projected offense.

Tylor Megill is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -145

Strikeouts 5.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Tylor Megill in the 91st percentile among all SPs in the game.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-most strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Boston Red Sox with a 24.4% underlying K%.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 49°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 17.3-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The #3 field in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tylor Megill in today's game.

Tylor Megill's 94.7-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1-mph drop off from last year's 95.7-mph figure.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Tylor Megill has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls 8.1% less often this year (35.6%) than he did last year (43.7%).

With a 1.64 disparity between Tylor Megill's 11.63 K/9 and his 9.99 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse the rest of the season.

Tylor Megill is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today's game.