Tyler Mahle Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Tyler Mahle (34.9% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 FB hitters in Tampa Bay's projected batting order.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler Mahle in today's matchup.

Out of all starters, Tyler Mahle's fastball velocity of 91.4 mph grades out in the 17th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Kyle Higashioka, the Rangers's expected catcher in today's matchup, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #7 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.

Tyler Mahle has a reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 6 opposite-handed hitters today.

Tyler Mahle is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -136

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 106

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Kyle Higashioka, the Rangers's expected catcher in today's matchup, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.

Tyler Mahle has a reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 6 opposite-handed hitters today.

Given the 1.04 difference between Tyler Mahle's 6.55 K/9 and his 7.59 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and should perform better going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Tyler Mahle (34.9% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 FB hitters in Tampa Bay's projected batting order.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler Mahle in today's matchup.

Out of all starters, Tyler Mahle's fastball velocity of 91.4 mph grades out in the 17th percentile this year.

Tyler Mahle is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in today's game.