Trevor Rogers Prop projections for Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins on Jun 21, 2024

Trevor Rogers Player Prop: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -141

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Seattle Mariners have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best stadium in the league for base hits.

The Seattle Mariners have 8 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in this game.

The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Trevor Rogers's 91.3-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 20th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Nick Fortes (the Marlins's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a good pitch framer.

Among all major league stadiums, LoanDepot Park's right field fences are the 4th-deepest.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Trevor Rogers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats in all categories.

Trevor Rogers Earned Runs Prop Projection

Trevor Rogers is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in todays game.


Trevor Rogers Player Prop: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -120
  • Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -111

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Nick Fortes (the Marlins's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a good pitch framer.

Among all major league stadiums, LoanDepot Park's right field fences are the 4th-deepest.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Trevor Rogers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats in all categories.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop

Trevor Rogers has recorded 14.8 outs per outing this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.

The Seattle Mariners have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best stadium in the league for base hits.

The Seattle Mariners have 8 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in this game.

The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Trevor Rogers Pitching Outs Prop Projection

Trevor Rogers is projected to have 14.9 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Trevor Rogers Player Prop: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

  • Strikeouts 4.5 over: -162
  • Strikeouts 4.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Nick Fortes (the Marlins's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a good pitch framer.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Trevor Rogers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats in all categories.

Trevor Rogers's 2427-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 83rd percentile among all starting pitchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop

The Seattle Mariners have 8 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in this game.

Trevor Rogers's 91.3-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 20th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Trevor Rogers's high usage percentage of his fastball (54.7% this year) is likely hurting his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Trevor Rogers has posted a 17.9% K% this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.

Trevor Rogers Strikeouts Prop Projection

Trevor Rogers is projected to have 4.8 Strikeouts in todays game.