Spencer Schwellenbach projections, stats and prop bet odds for Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds on Sep 18, 2024
Spencer Schwellenbach Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -154
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Spencer Schwellenbach in the 86th percentile among all starters in the game.
Ryan Blakney profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
With 6 bats who share the same handedness in the opposing team's projected batting order, Spencer Schwellenbach ought to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Out of all starting pitchers, Spencer Schwellenbach's fastball velocity of 95.5 mph is in the 92nd percentile this year.
Spencer Schwellenbach's high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (65% this year) figures to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Schwellenbach to throw 83 pitches in this game (10th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 82°.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Schwellenbach in today's game.
Given the 0.41 deviation between Spencer Schwellenbach's 9.81 K/9 and his 9.40 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see worse results going forward.
Projection For Today's Spencer Schwellenbach Strikeouts Prop Bet
Spencer Schwellenbach is projected to have 5.2 Strikeouts in todays game.
Spencer Schwellenbach Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -115
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 ballpark in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's RF fences are the 8th-shallowest.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 82°.
Among every team today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Schwellenbach in today's game.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, Spencer Schwellenbach's overall pitching skill grades out in the 92nd percentile among all SPs in baseball currently.
Ryan Blakney profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
With 6 bats who share the same handedness in the opposing team's projected batting order, Spencer Schwellenbach ought to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Spencer Schwellenbach was on point in his previous outing and conceded 2 ER.
Out of all starting pitchers, Spencer Schwellenbach's fastball velocity of 95.5 mph is in the 92nd percentile this year.
Projection For Today's Spencer Schwellenbach Earned Runs Prop Bet
Spencer Schwellenbach is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in todays game.
Spencer Schwellenbach Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -155
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, Spencer Schwellenbach's overall pitching skill grades out in the 92nd percentile among all SPs in baseball currently.
Ryan Blakney profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
With 6 bats who share the same handedness in the opposing team's projected batting order, Spencer Schwellenbach ought to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Spencer Schwellenbach was on point in his previous outing and conceded 2 ER.
Out of all starting pitchers, Spencer Schwellenbach's fastball velocity of 95.5 mph is in the 92nd percentile this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Schwellenbach to throw 83 pitches in this game (10th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 ballpark in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's RF fences are the 8th-shallowest.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 82°.
Among every team today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.
Projection For Today's Spencer Schwellenbach Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Spencer Schwellenbach is projected to have 15.1 Pitching Outs in todays game.
