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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Shane Baz in today's game.

With a 5.14 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the variables most within a pitcher's control), Shane Baz falls in the 14th percentile.

The 10.5% Barrel% of the Boston Red Sox grades them out as the #3 squad in MLB this year by this stat.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The underlying talent of the Boston Red Sox projected offense today (.313 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be considerably weaker than their .327 wOBA this year.

The Boston Red Sox have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Junior Valentine) calling pitches in today's game.

Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest average fence height in the majors.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game calls for the lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°.

Shane Baz is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -130

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The underlying talent of the Boston Red Sox projected offense today (.313 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be considerably weaker than their .327 wOBA this year.

The Boston Red Sox have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Junior Valentine) calling pitches in today's game.

Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest average fence height in the majors.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game calls for the lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Shane Baz in today's game.

With a 5.14 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the variables most within a pitcher's control), Shane Baz falls in the 14th percentile.

The 10.5% Barrel% of the Boston Red Sox grades them out as the #3 squad in MLB this year by this stat.

Shane Baz is projected to have 16.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 115

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -147

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Boston Red Sox have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (David Hamilton, Kristian Campbell, Trevor Story).

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Junior Valentine) calling pitches in today's game.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game calls for the lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Shane Baz in today's game.

Shane Baz is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Shane Baz Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (101)
un 5.5 (-141)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-150)
-
ov 5.5 (-105)
un 5.5 (-135)
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-137)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-114)
un 2.5 (-119)
ov 2.5 (-105)
un 2.5 (-120)
-
ov 2.5 (-120)
un 2.5 (-118)
ov 2.5 (-117)
un 2.5 (-117)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 16.5 (-129)
un 16.5 (-105)
ov 17.5 (105)
un 17.5 (-140)
ov 16.5 (-118)
un 16.5 (-108)
ov 16.5 (-125)
un 16.5 (-115)
ov 16.5 (-133)
un 16.5 (-103)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (108)
un 5.5 (-145)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-145)
ov 5.5 (104)
un 5.5 (-132)
ov 5.5 (105)
un 5.5 (-140)
ov 5.5 (112)
un 5.5 (-154)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-147)
un 1.5 (106)
ov 1.5 (-145)
un 1.5 (105)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-148)
un 1.5 (108)

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