Ryan Pepiot MLB projections and prop bets for Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox on Sep 29, 2024
Ryan Pepiot Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 118
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -163
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.
Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums.
Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Pepiot today.
Ryan Pepiot has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play this year with a .259 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.
Boston Red Sox hitters as a unit rank 4th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when assessing with their 9.1% Barrel%.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Ryan Pepiot's overall pitching ability ranks in the 86th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game right now.
Doug Eddings profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in this game.
Among all stadiums, the 2nd-highest average fence height are at Fenway Park.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today.
In his last GS, Ryan Pepiot was firing on all cylinders and conceded 2 ER.
Projection For Ryan Pepiot Earned Runs Prop Bet
Ryan Pepiot is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
Ryan Pepiot Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 6.5 over: 102
- Strikeouts 6.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ryan Pepiot in the 88th percentile among all SPs in MLB.
The Boston Red Sox have 5 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Triston Casas, Tyler O'Neill, Connor Wong, Wilyer Abreu, Trevor Story).
Doug Eddings profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in this game.
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Pepiot to throw 85 pitches in this game (14th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Pepiot today.
Given the 0.2 difference between Ryan Pepiot's 9.79 K/9 and his 9.59 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to perform worse the rest of the season.
Projection For Ryan Pepiot Strikeouts Prop Bet
Ryan Pepiot is projected to have 5.9 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
