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Robbie Ray

San Francisco Giants

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Philadelphia Phillies

06:45 PM

Apr 16, 2025

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San Francisco Giants

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -120

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

In the league, Citizens Bank Park's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

The Philadelphia Phillies have 7 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray in this game.

Robbie Ray will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Robbie Ray's fastball velocity has dropped 1.4 mph this year (92.6 mph) below where it was last year (94 mph).

Robbie Ray has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA since the start of last season; his 4.11 figure is a good deal lower than his 5.33 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey grades out as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #22 ballpark in MLB for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the 4th-lowest level of the day at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Over his last 3 games started, Robbie Ray has recorded a fantastic ERA of 2.93.

Robbie Ray is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -106

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -129

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Robbie Ray has averaged 93.1 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey grades out as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #22 ballpark in MLB for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the 4th-lowest level of the day at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

In the league, Citizens Bank Park's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

The Philadelphia Phillies have 7 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray in this game.

Robbie Ray will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Robbie Ray's fastball velocity has dropped 1.4 mph this year (92.6 mph) below where it was last year (94 mph).

Robbie Ray has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA since the start of last season; his 4.11 figure is a good deal lower than his 5.33 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Robbie Ray is projected to have 16.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: 133

Strikeouts 6.5 under: -184

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Robbie Ray in the 93rd percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Robbie Ray has averaged 93.1 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey grades out as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the 4th-lowest level of the day at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The Philadelphia Phillies have 7 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray in this game.

Robbie Ray will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Robbie Ray's fastball velocity has dropped 1.4 mph this year (92.6 mph) below where it was last year (94 mph).

Considering the 0.74 disparity between Robbie Ray's 10.96 K/9 and his 10.22 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and figures to see worse results the rest of the season.

Robbie Ray is projected to have 6.1 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Robbie Ray Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-117)
un 4.5 (-119)
ov 4.5 (-120)
un 4.5 (-120)
-
ov 4.5 (-118)
un 4.5 (-120)
ov 4.5 (-113)
un 4.5 (-121)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-126)
un 2.5 (-109)
ov 2.5 (-120)
un 2.5 (-110)
-
ov 2.5 (-130)
un 2.5 (-110)
-
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 16.5 (-110)
un 16.5 (-124)
ov 16.5 (-115)
un 16.5 (-115)
ov 16.5 (-114)
un 16.5 (-114)
ov 16.5 (-118)
un 16.5 (-118)
ov 16.5 (-106)
un 16.5 (-129)
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 6.5 (120)
un 6.5 (-161)
ov 6.5 (115)
un 6.5 (-150)
ov 6.5 (126)
un 6.5 (-162)
ov 6.5 (115)
un 6.5 (-150)
ov 6.5 (120)
un 6.5 (-166)
ov 6.5 (115)
un 6.5 (-150)
Walks Allowed
ov 2.5 (-130)
un 2.5 (-110)
ov 2.5 (-130)
un 2.5 (-110)
-
-
ov 2.5 (-129)
un 2.5 (-106)
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