Ranger Suarez Prop projections for Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles on Jun 14, 2024

Ranger Suarez Player Prop: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

  • Strikeouts 4.5 over: -150
  • Strikeouts 4.5 under: 118

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Ranger Suarez in the 81st percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

Ranger Suarez has averaged 94.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.

Ranger Suarez’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 outings (2019 rpm) has been considerably better than than his seasonal rate (1928 rpm).

Ranger Suarez has posted a 28.9% strikeout rate this year, placing in the 91st percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Garrett Stubbs (the Phillies's expected catcher today) is considered to be a horrible pitch framer.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.

Ranger Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Ranger Suarez's 90.3-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.9-mph decline from last season's 92.2-mph figure.

Given the 0.64 gap between Ranger Suarez's 9.60 K/9 and his 8.96 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see negative regression in the future.

Ranger Suarez Strikeouts Prop Projection

Ranger Suarez is projected to have 5.4 Strikeouts in todays game.


Ranger Suarez Player Prop: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Garrett Stubbs (the Phillies's expected catcher today) is considered to be a horrible pitch framer.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.

Ranger Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Ranger Suarez's 90.3-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.9-mph decline from last season's 92.2-mph figure.

Given the 1.71 gap between Ranger Suarez's 1.81 ERA and his 3.52 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to perform worse in future games.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Ranger Suarez's overall pitching skill ranks in the 94th percentile among all SPs in MLB right now.

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Baltimore Orioles offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the luckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 3rd-worst park in the game for walks.

Among all stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF fences are the deepest.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 9th-highest average fence height among all parks.

Ranger Suarez Earned Runs Prop Projection

Ranger Suarez is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in todays game.


Ranger Suarez Player Prop: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -167
  • Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Ranger Suarez's overall pitching skill ranks in the 94th percentile among all SPs in MLB right now.

Ranger Suarez has averaged 94.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Baltimore Orioles offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the luckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 3rd-worst park in the game for walks.

Among all stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF fences are the deepest.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Garrett Stubbs (the Phillies's expected catcher today) is considered to be a horrible pitch framer.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.

Ranger Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Ranger Suarez's 90.3-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.9-mph decline from last season's 92.2-mph figure.

Given the 1.71 gap between Ranger Suarez's 1.81 ERA and his 3.52 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to perform worse in future games.

Ranger Suarez Pitching Outs Prop Projection

Ranger Suarez is projected to have 16.7 Pitching Outs in todays game.