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Pavin Smith

Arizona Diamondbacks

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New York Yankees

07:05 PM

Apr 1, 2025

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Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Projections
  • Props

Home Runs

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Home Runs Prop Odds:

Home Runs 0.5 over: 650

Home Runs 0.5 under: -1600

Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pavin Smith ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #7 field in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

Hitting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today.

Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Shots Prop

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Pavin Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pavin Smith in today's game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (30.1) may lead us to conclude that Pavin Smith has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 34.2 actual HR/600.

Pavin Smith is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in today's game.

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Hits

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Hits Prop Odds:

Hits 0.5 over: -120

Hits 0.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today.

Out of every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Pavin Smith has been hot recently, putting up a a 21.1% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) in the last two weeks.

In the past 14 days, Pavin Smith has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 29.2° angle.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

The #5 ballpark in the league for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Pavin Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Pavin Smith is projected to have 0.7 Hits in today's game.

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Hits Runs and RBIs

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Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Odds:

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: 135

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: -185

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #7 field in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

Hitting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today.

Out of every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Pavin Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pavin Smith in today's game.

Pavin Smith is projected to have 1.6 Hits Runs and RBIs in today's game.

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RBIs

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RBIs Prop Odds:

RBIs 0.5 over: 240

RBIs 0.5 under: -350

Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #7 field in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

Hitting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today.

Out of every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Pavin Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pavin Smith in today's game.

Pavin Smith is projected to have 0.4 RBIs in today's game.

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Total Bases

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Total Bases Prop Odds:

Total Bases 0.5 over: -120

Total Bases 0.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #7 field in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

Hitting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today.

Out of every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Pavin Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pavin Smith in today's game.

Pavin Smith is projected to have 0.7 Total Bases in today's game.

Read Less

Pavin Smith Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings Caesars Fanatics
Doubles
ov 0.5 (500)
un 0.5 (-1000)
ov 0.5 (500)
un 0.5 (-1000)
-
-
Singles
ov 0.5 (153)
un 0.5 (-214)
ov 0.5 (155)
un 0.5 (-215)
ov 0.5 (152)
un 0.5 (-214)
-
Total Bases
ov 0.5 (-128)
un 0.5 (-109)
ov 0.5 (-125)
un 0.5 (-115)
ov 0.5 (-125)
un 0.5 (-109)
ov 0.5 (-140)
un 0.5 (100)
Total Hits
ov 0.5 (-134)
un 0.5 (-102)
ov 0.5 (-125)
un 0.5 (-110)
ov 0.5 (-125)
un 0.5 (-109)
ov 0.5 (-150)
un 0.5 (115)
Total Hits, Runs, & RBIs
ov 0.5 (-190)
un 0.5 (140)
ov 0.5 (-190)
un 0.5 (140)
-
-
Total Home Runs
ov 0.5 (631)
un 0.5 (-1271)
-
-
ov 0.5 (550)
un 0.5 (-1000)
Total RBIs
ov 0.5 (217)
un 0.5 (-329)
ov 0.5 (235)
un 0.5 (-350)
ov 0.5 (227)
un 0.5 (-339)
ov 0.5 (190)
un 0.5 (-300)
Total Runs
ov 0.5 (141)
un 0.5 (-197)
ov 0.5 (150)
un 0.5 (-210)
ov 0.5 (133)
un 0.5 (-184)
-
Total Walks
ov 0.5 (-110)
un 0.5 (-125)
ov 0.5 (-110)
un 0.5 (-125)
-
-

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