Mitch Keller Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 136

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -174

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Recording 96.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Mitch Keller places in the 91st percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers.

Mitch Keller's slider percentage has risen by 8.4% from last year to this one (25.1% to 33.5%) .

Mitch Keller's 2405-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 84th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Considering the 1.33 gap between Mitch Keller's 6.69 K/9 and his 8.02 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to perform better going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Ben May profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today's game.

The #10 field in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Mitch Keller will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Mitch Keller's fastball velocity has fallen 1.4 mph this year (93.1 mph) below where it was last year (94.5 mph).

Mitch Keller has posted a 7.9% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 12th percentile.

Mitch Keller is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -170

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Recording 96.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Mitch Keller places in the 91st percentile.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward

Busch Stadium grades out as the #27 ballpark in the league for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium's RF fences are the 2nd-deepest.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Ben May profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today's game.

Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Mitch Keller will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Mitch Keller's fastball velocity has fallen 1.4 mph this year (93.1 mph) below where it was last year (94.5 mph).

Mitch Keller is projected to have 17.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Ben May profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today's game.

Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Mitch Keller will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Mitch Keller's fastball velocity has fallen 1.4 mph this year (93.1 mph) below where it was last year (94.5 mph).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward

Busch Stadium grades out as the #27 ballpark in the league for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium's RF fences are the 2nd-deepest.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers.

Mitch Keller is an extreme flyball pitcher (31.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #27 HR venue in the league in today's game.

Mitch Keller is projected to have 3.2 Earned Runs in today's game.