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Matt Mervis

Miami Marlins

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Chicago White Sox

02:10 PM

May 11, 2025

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Miami Marlins

  • Projections
  • Props

RBIs

Read Projection

RBIs Prop Odds:

RBIs 0.5 over: 240

RBIs 0.5 under: -333

Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup.

Matt Mervis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Matt Mervis's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (35.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 19.4° seasonal mark.

Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Mervis in the 2nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Matt Mervis has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game.

This year, Matt Mervis has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching of the day.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Mervis in today's game.

Matt Mervis is projected to have 0.4 RBIs in today's game.

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Hits Runs and RBIs

Read Projection

Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Odds:

Hits Runs and RBIs 0.5 over: -130

Hits Runs and RBIs 0.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup.

Matt Mervis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Matt Mervis's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (35.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 19.4° seasonal mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Mervis in the 2nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Matt Mervis has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game.

This year, Matt Mervis has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching of the day.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Mervis in today's game.

Matt Mervis is projected to have 1.4 Hits Runs and RBIs in today's game.

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Hits

Read Projection

Hits Prop Odds:

Hits 0.5 over: 100

Hits 0.5 under: -132

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop

Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup.

Matt Mervis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Matt Mervis's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (35.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 19.4° seasonal mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Mervis in the 2nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Matt Mervis has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game.

This year, Matt Mervis has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching of the day.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Mervis in today's game.

Matt Mervis is projected to have 0.6 Hits in today's game.

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Total Bases

Read Projection

Total Bases Prop Odds:

Total Bases 0.5 over: 100

Total Bases 0.5 under: -132

Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup.

Matt Mervis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Matt Mervis's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (35.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 19.4° seasonal mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Mervis in the 2nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Matt Mervis has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game.

This year, Matt Mervis has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching of the day.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Mervis in today's game.

Matt Mervis is projected to have 0.6 Total Bases in today's game.

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Home Runs

Read Projection

Home Runs Prop Odds:

Home Runs 0.5 over: 450

Home Runs 0.5 under: -625

Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop

When assessing his home run skill, Matt Mervis ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #6 field in the majors for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup.

Matt Mervis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Matt Mervis's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (35.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 19.4° seasonal mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Shots Prop

Matt Mervis has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game.

This year, Matt Mervis has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching of the day.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Mervis in today's game.

Matt Mervis has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 11.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 14 days.

Matt Mervis is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in today's game.

Read Less

Matt Mervis Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings BetMGM Caesars
Doubles
ov 0.5 (650)
un 0.5 (-1200)
ov 0.5 (650)
un 0.5 (-1200)
ov 0.5 (650)
un 0.5 (-1200)
-
Singles
ov 0.5 (234)
un 0.5 (-343)
ov 0.5 (225)
un 0.5 (-330)
ov 0.5 (230)
un 0.5 (-325)
ov 0.5 (247)
un 0.5 (-374)
Total Bases
ov 0.5 (103)
un 0.5 (-143)
ov 0.5 (100)
un 0.5 (-140)
ov 0.5 (100)
un 0.5 (-140)
ov 0.5 (112)
un 0.5 (-154)
Total Hits
ov 0.5 (104)
un 0.5 (-142)
ov 0.5 (100)
un 0.5 (-135)
ov 0.5 (100)
un 0.5 (-135)
ov 0.5 (112)
un 0.5 (-154)
Total Hits, Runs, & RBIs
ov 0.5 (-133)
un 0.5 (-103)
ov 0.5 (-135)
un 0.5 (-105)
ov 0.5 (-130)
un 0.5 (100)
-
Total Home Runs
ov 0.5 (450)
un 0.5 (-625)
-
ov 0.5 (450)
un 0.5 (-625)
-
Total RBIs
ov 0.5 (234)
un 0.5 (-343)
ov 0.5 (225)
un 0.5 (-330)
ov 0.5 (230)
un 0.5 (-325)
ov 0.5 (247)
un 0.5 (-374)
Total Runs
ov 0.5 (182)
un 0.5 (-263)
ov 0.5 (185)
un 0.5 (-270)
ov 0.5 (190)
un 0.5 (-275)
ov 0.5 (172)
un 0.5 (-244)
Total Walks
ov 0.5 (160)
un 0.5 (-230)
ov 0.5 (160)
un 0.5 (-230)
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