Martín Pérez Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -152

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Minnesota Twins have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Edouard Julien, Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach).

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the coldest weather of all games on the slate at 40°.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Martin Perez will hold that advantage today.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Martin Perez must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot since the start of last season: 59% of the time, placing in the 77th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Martin Perez in the 10th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Martin Perez to be on a bit of a short leash in today's game, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.

Korey Lee, the White Sox's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the worst park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

Martin Perez is projected to have 3.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Martin Perez in the 25th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

Korey Lee, the White Sox's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 3rd-best field in Major League Baseball for home runs.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Minnesota Twins offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball since the start of last season.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the coldest weather of all games on the slate at 40°.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Martin Perez will hold that advantage today.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Martin Perez must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot since the start of last season: 59% of the time, placing in the 77th percentile.

Martin Perez has put up a .318 BABIP since the start of last season, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

Martin Perez is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in today's game.