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MacKenzie Gore

Washington Nationals

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Toronto Blue Jays

03:07 PM

Apr 2, 2025

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Washington Nationals

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the game since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Derek Thomas) behind the plate in this game.

The 9th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre.

The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, MacKenzie Gore's overall pitching ability grades out in the 83rd percentile out of all starting pitchers in MLB right now.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest fences in the league.

Due to his reverse platoon split, MacKenzie Gore figures to be at an advantage being matched up with 8 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the other side in today's game.

Considering that flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, MacKenzie Gore (32.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 FB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

In his previous start, MacKenzie Gore was firing on all cylinders and gave up 0 ER.

MacKenzie Gore is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -120

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, MacKenzie Gore's overall pitching ability grades out in the 83rd percentile out of all starting pitchers in MLB right now.

Tallying 96.9 adjusted pitches per GS since the start of last season on average, MacKenzie Gore places in the 94th percentile.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest fences in the league.

Due to his reverse platoon split, MacKenzie Gore figures to be at an advantage being matched up with 8 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the other side in today's game.

Considering that flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, MacKenzie Gore (32.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 FB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the game since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Derek Thomas) behind the plate in this game.

The 9th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre.

The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.

MacKenzie Gore is projected to have 16.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -104

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -122

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts MacKenzie Gore in the 96th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

Tallying 96.9 adjusted pitches per GS since the start of last season on average, MacKenzie Gore places in the 94th percentile.

The #9 field in the league for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Due to his reverse platoon split, MacKenzie Gore figures to be at an advantage being matched up with 8 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the other side in today's game.

Considering that flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, MacKenzie Gore (32.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 FB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 18.3% underlying K%.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Derek Thomas) behind the plate in this game.

The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.

MacKenzie Gore has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 10.13 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.72 — a 0.41 K/9 difference.

MacKenzie Gore is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in today's game.

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MacKenzie Gore Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-160)
un 4.5 (117)
ov 4.5 (-160)
un 4.5 (115)
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-
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Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-161)
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-160)
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-
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 16.5 (-120)
un 16.5 (-113)
ov 16.5 (-120)
un 16.5 (-115)
-
-
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-106)
un 5.5 (-125)
ov 5.5 (-105)
un 5.5 (-125)
ov 5.5 (-104)
un 5.5 (-122)
ov 5.5 (-106)
un 5.5 (-129)
ov 5.5 (-110)
un 5.5 (-120)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-185)
un 1.5 (130)
ov 1.5 (-185)
un 1.5 (130)
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-
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