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Luis Severino

Athletics

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Houston Astros

02:10 PM

May 28, 2025

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Athletics

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 135

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -200

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Luis Severino has averaged 97.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 95th percentile.

Among all parks, the 3rd-tallest average fence height are at Minute Maid Park.

With 8 hitters of the same handedness in the opposing team's projected batting order, Luis Severino figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

The Athletics infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Because flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Luis Severino (43.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 3 FB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Stu Scheurwater projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics's expected catcher today) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Severino in today's game.

Luis Severino is projected to have 17.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Stu Scheurwater projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics's expected catcher today) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Severino in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Among all parks, the 3rd-tallest average fence height are at Minute Maid Park.

With 8 hitters of the same handedness in the opposing team's projected batting order, Luis Severino figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

The Athletics infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Because flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Luis Severino (43.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 3 FB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

Luis Severino was in good form in his previous GS and allowed 0 ER.

Luis Severino is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 140

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -185

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Luis Severino has averaged 97.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 95th percentile.

The Houston Astros have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brendan Rodgers, Cam Smith, Zachary Dezenzo).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 7th-best park in the league for strikeouts.

Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.

With 8 hitters of the same handedness in the opposing team's projected batting order, Luis Severino figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Stu Scheurwater projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics's expected catcher today) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Severino in today's game.

Luis Severino has put up a 7.4% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 9th percentile.

Luis Severino is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Luis Severino Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-135)
un 5.5 (-103)
ov 5.5 (-135)
un 5.5 (-105)
-
ov 5.5 (-135)
un 5.5 (-105)
ov 5.5 (-137)
un 5.5 (100)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-111)
un 2.5 (-124)
ov 2.5 (-110)
un 2.5 (-125)
-
ov 2.5 (-110)
un 2.5 (-125)
ov 2.5 (-113)
un 2.5 (-121)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-187)
un 17.5 (135)
ov 17.5 (-185)
un 17.5 (135)
ov 17.5 (-170)
un 17.5 (130)
ov 17.5 (-190)
un 17.5 (130)
ov 17.5 (-184)
un 17.5 (133)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (145)
un 5.5 (-195)
ov 5.5 (140)
un 5.5 (-185)
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (102)
ov 5.5 (145)
un 5.5 (-190)
ov 4.5 (-129)
un 4.5 (-106)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-152)
un 1.5 (109)
ov 1.5 (-155)
un 1.5 (110)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-148)
un 1.5 (108)

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