Kyle Freeland Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -130

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -103

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Throwing 93.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Kyle Freeland checks in at the 78th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-most strikeout-prone lineup in today's games is the Detroit Tigers with a 24.5% underlying K%.

The weather report calls for the 7th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Because groundball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over groundball hitters, Kyle Freeland and his 43.8% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good spot in this game being matched up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

Kyle Freeland will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Mark Ripperger grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the worst park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Out of all starters, Kyle Freeland's fastball velocity of 90.9 mph is in the 16th percentile this year.

Kyle Freeland is projected to have 4.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 3.5 over: 100

Earned Runs 3.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Mark Ripperger grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in MLB for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Out of all starters, Kyle Freeland's fastball velocity of 90.9 mph is in the 16th percentile this year.

Detroit's 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #2 group of hitters in the game this year by this standard.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Detroit Tigers in this game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .308, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .329 this year.

The Detroit Tigers have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season

The weather report calls for the 7th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Kyle Freeland is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #5 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in today's game.

The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 5th-best out of every team in action today.

Kyle Freeland is projected to have 3.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -111

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Throwing 93.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Kyle Freeland checks in at the 78th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Detroit Tigers in this game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .308, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .329 this year.

The Detroit Tigers have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season

The weather report calls for the 7th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Kyle Freeland is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #5 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Mark Ripperger grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in MLB for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Out of all starters, Kyle Freeland's fastball velocity of 90.9 mph is in the 16th percentile this year.

Detroit's 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #2 group of hitters in the game this year by this standard.

Kyle Freeland is projected to have 16.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.