Justin Steele Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 125

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Justin Steele in the 79th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

The Athletics have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Muncy, Tyler Soderstrom, Brent Rooker, Lawrence Butler).

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this game forecasts the 5th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 56°.

Justin Steele's 2419-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 80th percentile out of all starters.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Justin Steele to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 85 pitches.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) behind the plate in this game.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justin Steele in today's game.

Justin Steele's 91.5-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 13th percentile among all SPs.

Justin Steele's high utilization percentage of his fastball (64.8% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Justin Steele is projected to have 5.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Athletics have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the game since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) behind the plate in this game.

Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justin Steele in today's game.

Justin Steele's 91.5-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 13th percentile among all SPs.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Justin Steele projects as the 16th-best SP in the game currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Sutter Health Park grades out as the #29 venue in baseball for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 6th-deepest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Sutter Health Park.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this game forecasts the 5th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 56°.

Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.

Justin Steele is projected to have 1.8 Earned Runs in today's game.