Chicago Cubs
07:40 PM
ATS Picks on April 7, 2025
Read Projection
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 5.5 over: -125
Strikeouts 5.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
Justin Steele has averaged 92.4 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.
It is likely that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Bill Miller) calling pitches today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 4th-best park in the game for strikeouts.
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-coldest temperature of all games today at 35°.
The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
Justin Steele's fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this season (90.5 mph) below where it was last year (91.5 mph).
Considering the 0.71 discrepancy between Justin Steele's 8.86 K/9 and his 8.15 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see worse results in the future.
Justin Steele is projected to have 6 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 1.5 over: -120
Earned Runs 1.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The Texas Rangers have been the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward
Justin Steele has compiled a staggering 6.89 ERA over his last 3 outings.
Justin Steele's fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this season (90.5 mph) below where it was last year (91.5 mph).
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Justin Steele in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.
It is likely that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Bill Miller) calling pitches today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst park in Major League Baseball for walks.
Among all major league stadiums, Wrigley Field's RF fences are the 5th-deepest.
Among all stadiums, the 7th-highest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.
Justin Steele is projected to have 1.7 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 155
Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -213
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Justin Steele in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.
Justin Steele has averaged 92.4 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.
It is likely that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Bill Miller) calling pitches today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst park in Major League Baseball for walks.
Among all major league stadiums, Wrigley Field's RF fences are the 5th-deepest.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
The Texas Rangers have been the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward
Justin Steele has compiled a staggering 6.89 ERA over his last 3 outings.
Justin Steele's fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this season (90.5 mph) below where it was last year (91.5 mph).
Justin Steele is projected to have 18.9 Pitching Outs in today's game.
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Consensus | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 4.5 (-108) | ov 4.5 (-110) | - | ov 4.5 (-105) | ov 4.5 (-109) | - |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 1.5 (-115) | ov 1.5 (-120) | - | ov 1.5 (-120) | - | - |
Total Outs Recorded | ov 17.5 (-200) | ov 17.5 (-215) | ov 17.5 (-178) | ov 17.5 (-200) | - | - |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 5.5 (-116) | ov 5.5 (-125) | ov 5.5 (-106) | ov 5.5 (-140) | ov 5.5 (-109) | ov 5.5 (-120) |
Walks Allowed | ov 1.5 (135) | ov 1.5 (135) | - | - | - | - |
