James Paxton projections, stats and prop bet odds for Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants on Jun 30, 2024

James Paxton Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Strikeouts 4.5 over: -121
  • Strikeouts 4.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet

The San Francisco Giants have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (David Villar, Heliot Ramos, Tyler Fitzgerald).

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

This game is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Because of his large reverse platoon split, James Paxton will be in a good position matching up with 9 bats in the projected lineup who bat from the opposite side today.

Considering the 1.72 deviation between James Paxton's 6.15 K/9 and his 7.87 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to positively regress going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet

Oracle Park ranks as the #26 ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats.

James Paxton will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

James Paxton's 92.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.8-mph fall off from last season's 94.6-mph mark.

James Paxton's fastball spin rate has dropped 108 rpm this season (2100 rpm) below where it was last year (2208 rpm).

Projection For Today's James Paxton Strikeouts Prop Bet

James Paxton is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in todays game.


James Paxton Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -112
  • Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -117

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Oracle Park grades out as the #30 stadium in the majors for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, the highest fences are at Oracle Park.

This game is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Because of his large reverse platoon split, James Paxton will be in a good position matching up with 9 bats in the projected lineup who bat from the opposite side today.

James Paxton was in good form in his previous outing and gave up 0 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet

The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Oracle Park.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats.

James Paxton will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

James Paxton's 92.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.8-mph fall off from last season's 94.6-mph mark.

James Paxton's fastball spin rate has dropped 108 rpm this season (2100 rpm) below where it was last year (2208 rpm).

Projection For Today's James Paxton Pitching Outs Prop Bet

James Paxton is projected to have 15.7 Pitching Outs in todays game.


James Paxton Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: -115
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet

The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Oracle Park.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats.

James Paxton will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

James Paxton's 92.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.8-mph fall off from last season's 94.6-mph mark.

James Paxton's fastball spin rate has dropped 108 rpm this season (2100 rpm) below where it was last year (2208 rpm).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet

Oracle Park grades out as the #30 stadium in the majors for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, the highest fences are at Oracle Park.

This game is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Because of his large reverse platoon split, James Paxton will be in a good position matching up with 9 bats in the projected lineup who bat from the opposite side today.

James Paxton was in good form in his previous outing and gave up 0 ER.

Projection For Today's James Paxton Earned Runs Prop Bet

James Paxton is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in todays game.