Jake Woodford Prop projections for Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox on Jun 6, 2024
Jake Woodford Player Prop: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: -139
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Boston Red Sox with a 25.6% underlying K%.
The weather report calls for the 8th-most suitable pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Jake Woodford will hold that advantage today.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop
When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Jake Woodford in the 5th percentile among all SPs in MLB.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Woodford to throw 83 pitches in this matchup (14th-most of the day), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Korey Lee (the White Sox's expected catcher today) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
The #7 park in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Jake Woodford Strikeouts Prop Projection
Jake Woodford is projected to have 3.4 Strikeouts in todays game.
Jake Woodford Player Prop: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -167
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: 130
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jake Woodford in the 12th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Korey Lee (the White Sox's expected catcher today) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 2nd-best field in MLB for home runs.
The 3rd-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Guaranteed Rate Field.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop
It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Boston Red Sox offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
The weather report calls for the 8th-most suitable pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Jake Woodford will hold that advantage today.
Given the 1.29 difference between Jake Woodford's 6.23 ERA and his 4.94 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game since the start of last season and ought to see better results the rest of the season.
Jake Woodford has put up a .333 BABIP since the start of last season, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in MLB on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.
Jake Woodford Earned Runs Prop Projection
Jake Woodford is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in todays game.
