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Jackson Merrill

San Diego Padres

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Arizona Diamondbacks

07:15 PM

Jun 14, 2025

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San Diego Padres

  • Projections
  • Props

Hits

Read Projection

Hits Prop Odds:

Hits 1.5 over: 160

Hits 1.5 under: -200

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Shots Prop

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the best out of all the teams on the slate today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Merrill today.

Jackson Merrill has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 13.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

Jackson Merrill's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 90.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 83.3-mph over the past 14 days.

Jackson Merrill is projected to have 1.1 Hits in today's game.

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Home Runs

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Home Runs Prop Odds:

Home Runs 0.5 over: 500

Home Runs 0.5 under: -714

Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Jackson Merrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 4th-worst park in the league for lefty home runs.

Chase Field has the 10th-tallest average fence height in MLB.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Merrill today.

Jackson Merrill has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 13.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

Jackson Merrill is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in today's game.

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RBIs

Read Projection

RBIs Prop Odds:

RBIs 0.5 over: 125

RBIs 0.5 under: -156

Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Shots Prop

Chase Field has the 10th-tallest average fence height in MLB.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the best out of all the teams on the slate today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Merrill today.

Jackson Merrill has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 13.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

Jackson Merrill is projected to have 0.6 RBIs in today's game.

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Hits Runs and RBIs

Read Projection

Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Odds:

Hits Runs and RBIs 2.5 over: 115

Hits Runs and RBIs 2.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Shots Prop

Chase Field has the 10th-tallest average fence height in MLB.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the best out of all the teams on the slate today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Merrill today.

Jackson Merrill has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 13.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

Jackson Merrill is projected to have 2.3 Hits Runs and RBIs in today's game.

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Total Bases

Read Projection

Total Bases Prop Odds:

Total Bases 1.5 over: -125

Total Bases 1.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Shots Prop

Chase Field has the 10th-tallest average fence height in MLB.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the best out of all the teams on the slate today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Merrill today.

Jackson Merrill has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 13.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

Jackson Merrill is projected to have 1.8 Total Bases in today's game.

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Jackson Merrill Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings BetMGM Caesars
Doubles
ov 0.5 (261)
un 0.5 (-378)
ov 0.5 (255)
un 0.5 (-380)
ov 0.5 (270)
un 0.5 (-375)
ov 0.5 (260)
un 0.5 (-380)
Singles
ov 0.5 (-152)
un 0.5 (115)
ov 0.5 (-150)
un 0.5 (110)
ov 0.5 (-145)
un 0.5 (110)
ov 0.5 (-160)
un 0.5 (125)
Stolen Bases
ov 0.5 (562)
un 0.5 (-1150)
ov 0.5 (600)
un 0.5 (-1100)
ov 0.5 (525)
un 0.5 (-1200)
-
Total Bases
ov 1.5 (-120)
un 1.5 (-114)
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-115)
ov 1.5 (-118)
un 1.5 (-115)
ov 1.5 (-120)
un 1.5 (-110)
Total Hits
ov 1.5 (153)
un 1.5 (-205)
ov 1.5 (150)
un 1.5 (-205)
ov 1.5 (160)
un 1.5 (-210)
ov 1.5 (150)
un 1.5 (-200)
Total Hits, Runs, & RBIs
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-154)
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-160)
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-155)
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-145)
Total Home Runs
ov 0.5 (550)
un 0.5 (-965)
-
ov 0.5 (525)
un 0.5 (-750)
-
Total RBIs
ov 0.5 (120)
un 0.5 (-162)
ov 0.5 (115)
un 0.5 (-165)
ov 0.5 (120)
un 0.5 (-160)
ov 0.5 (125)
un 0.5 (-160)
Total Runs
ov 0.5 (-102)
un 0.5 (-134)
ov 0.5 (-105)
un 0.5 (-135)
ov 0.5 (100)
un 0.5 (-135)
ov 0.5 (100)
un 0.5 (-130)
Total Walks
ov 0.5 (220)
un 0.5 (-320)
ov 0.5 (220)
un 0.5 (-320)
-
ov 0.5 (230)
un 0.5 (-320)

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