Hunter Brown MLB projections and prop bets for Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros on Oct 2, 2024
Hunter Brown Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 6.5 over: 115
- Strikeouts 6.5 under: -155
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Hunter Brown in the 83rd percentile among all SPs in the league.
The Detroit Tigers have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Spencer Torkelson, Trey Sweeney, Jake Rogers).
Minute Maid Park grades out as the #9 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.
Hunter Brown has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed batters in today's game.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Hunter Brown is expected to throw 82 pitches in this game, which is the 3rd-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Jordan Baker) in charge of the strike zone today.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Hunter Brown has relied on his slider 21.1% less often this year (4%) than he did last year (25.1%).
Hunter Brown has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 9.48 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.40 — a 0.08 K/9 discrepancy.
Projection For Hunter Brown Strikeouts Prop Bet
Hunter Brown is projected to have 5.9 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
Hunter Brown Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 1.5 over: -130
- Earned Runs 1.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Jordan Baker) in charge of the strike zone today.
Minute Maid Park profiles as the #8 stadium in the majors for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Hunter Brown's overall pitching ability ranks in the 91st percentile out of all starters in the majors currently.
The Detroit Tigers projected offense profiles as the weakest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill.
Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest average fence height among all major league parks.
Hunter Brown has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed batters in today's game.
Hunter Brown is an extreme groundball pitcher (49.5% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Minute Maid Park — the #8 HR venue in the majors — in today's game.
Projection For Hunter Brown Earned Runs Prop Bet
Hunter Brown is projected to have 1.8 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
