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Hunter Brown

Houston Astros

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Chicago White Sox

02:10 PM

May 3, 2025

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Houston Astros

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -120

Earned Runs 1.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be wise to expect stronger performance for the Chicago White Sox offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Bruce Dreckman) calling pitches today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros's expected catcher in today's game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

The #9 field in the league for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Hunter Brown projects as the 15th-best starter in baseball currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Chicago White Sox projected lineup grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching of the day.

Hunter Brown is an extreme groundball pitcher (50% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #9 HR venue among all parks — in this matchup.

Considering that groundball batters struggle against groundball pitchers, Hunter Brown (50% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 GB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

Hunter Brown is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 130

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -185

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Hunter Brown projects as the 15th-best starter in baseball currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Hunter Brown has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 6.5 adjusted pitches each start.

The Chicago White Sox projected lineup grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching of the day.

Hunter Brown is an extreme groundball pitcher (50% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #9 HR venue among all parks — in this matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It may be wise to expect stronger performance for the Chicago White Sox offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Bruce Dreckman) calling pitches today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros's expected catcher in today's game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

The #9 field in the league for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks.

Hunter Brown is projected to have 17.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: 105

Strikeouts 6.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Hunter Brown in the 91st percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Hunter Brown has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 6.5 adjusted pitches each start.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching of the day.

Considering that groundball batters struggle against groundball pitchers, Hunter Brown (50% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 GB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

Hunter Brown was on point in his previous outing and put up 7 strikeouts.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Bruce Dreckman) calling pitches today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros's expected catcher in today's game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #25 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Because of his reverse platoon split, Hunter Brown faces a tough challenge facing 6 bats in the projected lineup of the same handedness in today's matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hunter Brown in today's matchup.

Hunter Brown is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Hunter Brown Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-106)
un 4.5 (-133)
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-135)
-
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-140)
ov 4.5 (-106)
un 4.5 (-129)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-123)
un 1.5 (-111)
ov 1.5 (-120)
un 1.5 (-110)
-
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-115)
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-109)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 18.5 (139)
un 18.5 (-192)
ov 18.5 (135)
un 18.5 (-185)
ov 18.5 (150)
un 18.5 (-205)
ov 18.5 (135)
un 18.5 (-190)
ov 18.5 (133)
un 18.5 (-184)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 6.5 (109)
un 6.5 (-145)
ov 6.5 (105)
un 6.5 (-135)
ov 6.5 (118)
un 6.5 (-150)
ov 6.5 (-105)
un 6.5 (-125)
ov 6.5 (100)
un 6.5 (-137)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-113)
ov 1.5 (-120)
un 1.5 (-120)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-129)
un 1.5 (-106)

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