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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -115

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -111

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Grant Holmes in the 91st percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

Tallying 94.1 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Grant Holmes ranks in the 89th percentile.

Citi Field projects as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to worse offense.

The weather forecast expects the 7th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the New York Mets with a 21% underlying K%.

With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Grant Holmes has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Grant Holmes in today's game.

Considering the 0.39 discrepancy between Grant Holmes's 10.27 K/9 and his 9.88 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to perform worse going forward.

Grant Holmes is projected to have 5.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -125

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Tallying 94.1 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Grant Holmes ranks in the 89th percentile.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the New York Mets offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

The #1 park in the game for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to worse offense.

The weather forecast expects the 7th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The New York Mets projected offense profiles as the 4th-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

Among all stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.

With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Grant Holmes has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Grant Holmes in today's game.

Grant Holmes has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.71 rate is a fair amount lower than his 4.54 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Grant Holmes is projected to have 16.4 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The New York Mets projected offense profiles as the 4th-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

Among all stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.

With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Grant Holmes has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Grant Holmes in today's game.

Grant Holmes has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.71 rate is a fair amount lower than his 4.54 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be best to expect negative regression for the New York Mets offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

The #1 park in the game for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to worse offense.

The weather forecast expects the 7th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

Grant Holmes is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Grant Holmes Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-147)
un 4.5 (106)
ov 4.5 (-160)
un 4.5 (110)
-
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (100)
ov 4.5 (-148)
un 4.5 (108)
ov 4.5 (-140)
un 4.5 (105)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-134)
ov 2.5 (105)
un 2.5 (-135)
-
ov 2.5 (-105)
un 2.5 (-135)
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-137)
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-130)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-113)
un 5.5 (-118)
ov 5.5 (-110)
un 5.5 (-120)
ov 5.5 (-115)
un 5.5 (-111)
ov 5.5 (-110)
un 5.5 (-120)
ov 5.5 (-117)
un 5.5 (-117)
ov 5.5 (-115)
un 5.5 (-115)

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