Freddy Peralta projections, stats and prop bet odds for St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers on Sep 2, 2024
Freddy Peralta Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 1.5 over: -148
- Earned Runs 1.5 under: 108
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The #3 field in the game for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.
In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.
Freddy Peralta has used his curveball 7% less often this season (5.5%) than he did last year (12.5%).
Given the 0.42 disparity between Freddy Peralta's 3.70 ERA and his 4.12 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to perform worse going forward.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Freddy Peralta's overall pitching skill grades out in the 93rd percentile out of all starting pitchers in the league right now.
The St. Louis Cardinals projected lineup grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the strongest among all the teams today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Freddy Peralta will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Projection For Today's Freddy Peralta Earned Runs Prop Bet
Freddy Peralta is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in todays game.
Freddy Peralta Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -115
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -119
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Freddy Peralta's overall pitching skill grades out in the 93rd percentile out of all starting pitchers in the league right now.
Freddy Peralta has averaged 96.9 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.
The St. Louis Cardinals projected lineup grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the strongest among all the teams today.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The #3 field in the game for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.
In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.
Freddy Peralta has used his curveball 7% less often this season (5.5%) than he did last year (12.5%).
Given the 0.42 disparity between Freddy Peralta's 3.70 ERA and his 4.12 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to perform worse going forward.
Projection For Today's Freddy Peralta Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Freddy Peralta is projected to have 17.3 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Freddy Peralta Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -132
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: -104
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Freddy Peralta projects as the 18th-best starter in baseball right now when estimating his strikeout ability, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Freddy Peralta has averaged 96.9 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.
American Family Field projects as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Freddy Peralta will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The St. Louis Cardinals (20.2 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone group of batters of all teams on the slate.
Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output.
Freddy Peralta has used his curveball 7% less often this season (5.5%) than he did last year (12.5%).
Given the 0.24 deviation between Freddy Peralta's 10.44 K/9 and his 10.20 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see negative regression in the future.
Projection For Today's Freddy Peralta Strikeouts Prop Bet
Freddy Peralta is projected to have 6.2 Strikeouts in todays game.
