• Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 115

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Progressive Field profiles as the #7 field in the majors for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

The Cleveland Guardians have 8 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in this matchup.

Freddy Peralta will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Freddy Peralta in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

The 5th-worst projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.

Progressive Field has the 4th-highest average fence height in the majors.

Freddy Peralta is an extreme flyball pitcher (38% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #21 HR venue in the majors in this game.

Considering that flyball batters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Freddy Peralta (38% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposition's projected lineup.

Freddy Peralta is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -118

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Freddy Peralta in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

Throwing 94 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Freddy Peralta ranks in the 81st percentile.

The 5th-worst projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.

Progressive Field has the 4th-highest average fence height in the majors.

Freddy Peralta is an extreme flyball pitcher (38% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #21 HR venue in the majors in this game.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Progressive Field profiles as the #7 field in the majors for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

The Cleveland Guardians have 8 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in this matchup.

Freddy Peralta will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Freddy Peralta is projected to have 16.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -114

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Freddy Peralta in the 93rd percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

Throwing 94 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Freddy Peralta ranks in the 81st percentile.

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bo Naylor, Nolan Jones, Gabriel Arias).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 8th-best park in MLB for strikeouts.

Considering that flyball batters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Freddy Peralta (38% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposition's projected lineup.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

The Cleveland Guardians have 8 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in this matchup.

Freddy Peralta will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Freddy Peralta has used his four-seamer 5.2% more often this year (59%) than he did last season (53.8%).

Freddy Peralta is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Freddy Peralta Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-104)
un 4.5 (-135)
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-135)
-
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-140)
ov 4.5 (100)
un 4.5 (-137)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-112)
un 5.5 (-118)
ov 5.5 (-115)
un 5.5 (-115)
ov 5.5 (-114)
un 5.5 (-114)
ov 5.5 (-110)
un 5.5 (-115)
ov 5.5 (-113)
un 5.5 (-121)

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