Houston Astros
Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 18.5 over: -113
Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -118
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
Framber Valdez projects as the 10th-best pitcher in the majors right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Framber Valdez has averaged 93.4 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.
The Athletics projected lineup ranks as the 3rd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.
It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Athletics offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
The 6th-deepest left field fences in the league are found in Sutter Health Park.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
Projected catcher Yainer Diaz projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 9th-best venue in the league for walks.
In the majors, Sutter Health Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of the day at 96°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Framber Valdez is projected to have 18.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -165
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
Projected catcher Yainer Diaz projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 9th-best venue in the league for walks.
In the majors, Sutter Health Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of the day at 96°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
Framber Valdez projects as the 10th-best pitcher in the majors right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Athletics projected lineup ranks as the 3rd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.
It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Athletics offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
The 6th-deepest left field fences in the league are found in Sutter Health Park.
Because of his large reverse platoon split, Framber Valdez will hold the advantage facing 7 bats in the projected lineup who hit from the other side in this matchup.
Framber Valdez is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 7.5 over: 120
Strikeouts 7.5 under: -160
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Framber Valdez in the 86th percentile among all starters in the league.
Framber Valdez has averaged 93.4 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.
The Athletics (25.3% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate.
Because of his large reverse platoon split, Framber Valdez will hold the advantage facing 7 bats in the projected lineup who hit from the other side in this matchup.
Considering that groundball pitchers have a notable advantage over groundball hitters, Framber Valdez and his 58.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position today going up against 2 opposing GB hitters.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
Projected catcher Yainer Diaz projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of the day at 96°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Framber Valdez in today's game.
Framber Valdez has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 9.60 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.22 — a 0.38 K/9 disparity.
Framber Valdez is projected to have 6.4 Strikeouts in today's game.