David Peterson MLB projections and prop bets for New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers on Sep 29, 2024
David Peterson Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -127
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Lance Barrett profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in this game.
The #2 venue in the league for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
Given that flyball pitchers have a substantial advantage over flyball batters, David Peterson and his 48.8% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in today's game going up against 4 opposing FB batters.
David Peterson has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.34 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.66 — a 1.32 K/9 difference.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peterson to throw 85 pitches in today's game (15th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
With 8 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, David Peterson encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.
David Peterson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.
David Peterson has utilized his sinker 6.7% more often this year (31.3%) than he did last year (24.6%).
Projection For David Peterson Strikeouts Prop Bet
David Peterson is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
