Corbin Burnes projections, stats and prop bet odds for Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners on Jul 4, 2024
Corbin Burnes Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 1.5 over: -167
- Earned Runs 1.5 under: 130
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
It may be smart to expect better numbers for the Seattle Mariners offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
Among all major league stadiums, T-Mobile Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest.
Among all major league parks, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.
Corbin Burnes's cutter rate has decreased by 10.9% from last season to this one (55.4% to 44.5%) .
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Corbin Burnes's overall pitching talent grades out in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors currently.
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Adam Hamari) behind the plate today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Orioles's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as a good pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst ballpark in the league for batting average.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate.
Projection For Today's Corbin Burnes Earned Runs Prop Bet
Corbin Burnes is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in todays game.
Corbin Burnes Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 7.5 over: -120
- Strikeouts 7.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Corbin Burnes in the 85th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.
Recording 93.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Corbin Burnes places him the 85th percentile.
The Seattle Mariners have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cal Raleigh, Luke Raley, Jorge Polanco).
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Adam Hamari) behind the plate today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Orioles's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as a good pitch framer.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.
Corbin Burnes's cutter rate has decreased by 10.9% from last season to this one (55.4% to 44.5%) .
Projection For Today's Corbin Burnes Strikeouts Prop Bet
Corbin Burnes is projected to have 6.8 Strikeouts in todays game.
Corbin Burnes Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -182
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 140
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Corbin Burnes's overall pitching talent grades out in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors currently.
Recording 93.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Corbin Burnes places him the 85th percentile.
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Adam Hamari) behind the plate today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Orioles's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as a good pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst ballpark in the league for batting average.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
It may be smart to expect better numbers for the Seattle Mariners offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
Among all major league stadiums, T-Mobile Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest.
Among all major league parks, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.
Corbin Burnes's cutter rate has decreased by 10.9% from last season to this one (55.4% to 44.5%) .
Projection For Today's Corbin Burnes Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Corbin Burnes is projected to have 17.7 Pitching Outs in todays game.
