Colin Rea Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -180

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 135

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Given that flyball batters hold a notable edge over groundball pitchers, Colin Rea and his 35.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough position in this matchup being matched up with 4 opposing GB hitters.

Colin Rea has utilized his four-seamer 35.2% more often this season (55.1%) than he did last year (19.9%).

Colin Rea's 2203-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 19th percentile out of all SPs.

Colin Rea has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA since the start of last season; his 4.01 figure is a fair amount lower than his 4.54 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Miami Marlins has been 117.4 mph this year, ranking them as the #4 team in the majors by this stat.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The 3rd-worst projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Miami Marlins.

It may be best to expect worse results for the Miami Marlins offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

The #4 ballpark in baseball for suppressing walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

The 5th-deepest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.

In MLB, the 7th-highest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.

Colin Rea is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -120

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The 3rd-worst projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Miami Marlins.

It may be best to expect worse results for the Miami Marlins offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

The #4 ballpark in baseball for suppressing walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

The 5th-deepest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.

In MLB, the 7th-highest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Recording 81.9 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Colin Rea ranks in the 23rd percentile.

Given that flyball batters hold a notable edge over groundball pitchers, Colin Rea and his 35.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough position in this matchup being matched up with 4 opposing GB hitters.

Colin Rea has utilized his four-seamer 35.2% more often this season (55.1%) than he did last year (19.9%).

Colin Rea's 2203-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 19th percentile out of all SPs.

Colin Rea has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA since the start of last season; his 4.01 figure is a fair amount lower than his 4.54 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Colin Rea is projected to have 17 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -161

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 128

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt Mervis, Kyle Stowers, Connor Norby).

Wrigley Field ranks as the #9 park in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 6th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces.

Colin Rea will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Recording 81.9 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Colin Rea ranks in the 23rd percentile.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

Given that flyball batters hold a notable edge over groundball pitchers, Colin Rea and his 35.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough position in this matchup being matched up with 4 opposing GB hitters.

Colin Rea has utilized his four-seamer 35.2% more often this season (55.1%) than he did last year (19.9%).

Colin Rea's 2203-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 19th percentile out of all SPs.

Colin Rea is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in today's game.