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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 104

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -132

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Cincinnati Reds have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Tyler Stephenson, Will Benson, Elly De La Cruz).

Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate at 37%.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 10th-worst venue in the majors for strikeouts.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Colin Rea today.

Colin Rea's four-seam fastball rate has jumped by 33.6% from last season to this one (19.9% to 53.5%) .

Colin Rea's 2202-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 18th percentile out of all SPs.

Placing in the 11th percentile, Colin Rea compiled an 8% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Colin Rea is projected to have 4.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best venue in the majors for home runs.

The 7th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.

Colin Rea is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue in MLB in today's game.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Colin Rea today.

Colin Rea's four-seam fastball rate has jumped by 33.6% from last season to this one (19.9% to 53.5%) .

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate at 37%.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among all the teams playing today.

In his previous game started, Colin Rea was firing on all cylinders and conceded 1 ER.

Cincinnati Reds bats as a group grade out 25th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when judging by their 7.3% Barrel%.

Cincinnati Reds hitters as a unit rank near the bottom of the majors this year ( 3rd-worst) as far as their 88.6-mph average exit velocity.

Colin Rea is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -125

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate at 37%.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among all the teams playing today.

In his previous game started, Colin Rea was firing on all cylinders and conceded 1 ER.

Colin Rea's 77th percentile BB% (6.5% this year) is evidence of his good control ability.

Cincinnati Reds bats as a group grade out 25th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when judging by their 7.3% Barrel%.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best venue in the majors for home runs.

The 7th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.

Colin Rea is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue in MLB in today's game.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Colin Rea today.

Colin Rea's four-seam fastball rate has jumped by 33.6% from last season to this one (19.9% to 53.5%) .

Colin Rea is projected to have 15.4 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Colin Rea Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (109)
un 5.5 (-151)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-150)
-
ov 5.5 (105)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (112)
un 5.5 (-154)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-129)
un 2.5 (-106)
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-110)
-
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-110)
ov 2.5 (-129)
un 2.5 (-106)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 16.5 (-113)
un 16.5 (-122)
ov 16.5 (-120)
un 16.5 (-110)
ov 17.5 (120)
un 17.5 (-160)
ov 16.5 (-125)
un 16.5 (-110)
ov 16.5 (104)
un 16.5 (-142)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (107)
un 4.5 (-143)
ov 4.5 (110)
un 4.5 (-145)
ov 4.5 (104)
un 4.5 (-132)
ov 4.5 (110)
un 4.5 (-145)
ov 4.5 (104)
un 4.5 (-142)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-141)
un 1.5 (102)
ov 1.5 (-145)
un 1.5 (105)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-137)
un 1.5 (100)

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